Texas Pacific Land's (NYSE:TPL) Promising Earnings May Rest On Soft Foundations
Texas Pacific Land's (NYSE:TPL) Promising Earnings May Rest On Soft Foundations
Unsurprisingly, Texas Pacific Land Corporation's (NYSE:TPL) stock price was strong on the back of its healthy earnings report. However, we think that shareholders may be missing some concerning details in the numbers.
毫不奇怪,德克薩斯太平洋土地公司(紐交所:TPL)的股價在其健康的業績支撐下走強。然而,我們認爲股東們可能錯過了一些令人擔憂的數字細節。
Zooming In On Texas Pacific Land's Earnings
聚焦德克薩斯太平洋土地的盈利
One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
衡量公司將其利潤轉化爲自由現金流(FCF)的一個重要財務比率是應計比率。 應計比率將FCF從給定時期的利潤中減去,並將結果除以公司在該期間的平均運營資產。 您可以將非自由現金流獲利比率視爲從現金流中提取的應計比率。
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
這意味着負面預提比率是一件好事,因爲它表明公司所獲得的自由現金流比其利潤所示的要多。這並不意味着我們應該擔心正面的預提比率,但值得注意的是,如果預提比率很高的話就要考慮這個問題。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年的一篇論文:「預提較高的公司未來的盈利能力較低」。
Over the twelve months to September 2024, Texas Pacific Land recorded an accrual ratio of 0.28. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of US$334m during the period, falling well short of its reported profit of US$448.7m. Texas Pacific Land shareholders will no doubt be hoping that its free cash flow bounces back next year, since it was down over the last twelve months. One positive for Texas Pacific Land shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. Shareholders should look for improved cashflow relative to profit in the current year, if that is indeed the case.
在截至2024年9月的十二個月內,德克薩斯太平洋土地的計提比率爲0.28。因此我們可以推斷其自由現金流遠未能覆蓋其法定利潤。換句話說,在該期間,它的自由現金流爲33400萬美元,遠遠不足其報告的利潤44870萬美元。德克薩斯太平洋土地的股東們無疑希望其自由現金流在明年反彈,因爲過去十二個月它有所下降。德克薩斯太平洋土地股東們的一個積極因素是,去年其計提比率明顯改善,這使人有理由相信它可能會將來回到更強勁的現金轉換。如果情況確實如此,股東們應尋找本年度的現金流相對於利潤的改善。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Texas Pacific Land.
注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的強度。點擊此處查看我們對德克薩斯太平洋土地資產負債表分析。
Our Take On Texas Pacific Land's Profit Performance
我們對texas pacific land的盈利表現持樂觀態度
Texas Pacific Land's accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Because of this, we think that it may be that Texas Pacific Land's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But the good news is that its EPS growth over the last three years has been very impressive. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you want to do dive deeper into Texas Pacific Land, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Texas Pacific Land you should know about.
過去十二個月的texas pacific land的計提比率表明現金轉化不盡如人意,這在我們看來對其盈利狀況是不利的。因此,我們認爲texas pacific land的法定利潤可能優於其潛在盈利能力。但好消息是,過去三年其每股收益增長非常驚人。當然,在分析其盈利方面我們只是挖掘了表面一點;人們還可以考慮利潤率、預測增長以及投資回報率等其他因素。如果想深入分析texas pacific land,還可進一步了解目前面臨的風險。每家公司都存在風險,我們已經發現texas pacific land存在一個警示信號,您應了解一下。
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Texas Pacific Land's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
今天我們細讀了一個單一數據點,以更好了解texas pacific land的盈利本質。但如果您能專注於細節,總能發現更多。例如,許多人認爲高淨資產收益率表明良好的商業經濟狀況,而其他人喜歡「跟着資金走」並尋找內部人員正在買入的股票。雖然這可能需要您做些研究,但您可能會發現這些擁有高淨資產收益率的公司的免費收藏,或者具有重要內部持股的股票清單會有所幫助。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。