Zoom Video Communications, Inc. (NASDAQ:ZM) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 25% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 33%.
Since its price has surged higher, Zoom Video Communications may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 29.9x, since almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios under 19x and even P/E's lower than 11x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Zoom Video Communications has been doing relatively well. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Zoom Video Communications.
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
Zoom Video Communications' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 496% last year. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen a very unpleasant 18% drop in EPS in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 0.1% each year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 10% each year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's alarming that Zoom Video Communications' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Key Takeaway
Shares in Zoom Video Communications have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Zoom Video Communications currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Zoom Video Communications that you need to take into consideration.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Zoom Video Communications, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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