You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x Xperi Inc. (NYSE:XPER) is definitely a stock worth checking out, seeing as almost half of all the Software companies in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 5.3x and even P/S above 13x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
What Does Xperi's Recent Performance Look Like?
While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Xperi's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Xperi will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
Xperi's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 2.1%. At least revenue has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 0.3% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 25% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this in consideration, its clear as to why Xperi's P/S is falling short industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
What We Can Learn From Xperi's P/S?
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
As expected, our analysis of Xperi's analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Xperi has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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