US$3.15: That's What Analysts Think Assertio Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ASRT) Is Worth After Its Latest Results
US$3.15: That's What Analysts Think Assertio Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ASRT) Is Worth After Its Latest Results
There's been a notable change in appetite for Assertio Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ASRT) shares in the week since its third-quarter report, with the stock down 16% to US$0.85. Revenues of US$29m arrived in line with expectations, although statutory losses per share were US$0.03, an impressive 35% smaller than what broker models predicted. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Assertio Holdings after the latest results.
自第三季度報告發布以來的一週裏,對assertio控股公司(NASDAQ:ASRT)股票的興趣出現了明顯變化,股價下跌了16%,至0.85美元。營業收入達到了2900萬美元,符合預期,儘管每股法定虧損爲0.03美元,比經紀模型預測的35%要小。根據這一結果,分析師們已經更新了他們的盈利模型,了解他們是否認爲公司前景發生了重大變化,還是一切照舊將是很重要的。讀者將很高興得知我們已經彙總了最新的法定預測結果,以查看分析師在最新成果發佈後是否改變了對assertio控股的看法。
Taking into account the latest results, Assertio Holdings' five analysts currently expect revenues in 2025 to be US$123.7m, approximately in line with the last 12 months. The loss per share is expected to greatly reduce in the near future, narrowing 92% to US$0.06. Before this earnings announcement, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$127.4m and losses of US$0.062 per share in 2025. It looks like there's been a modest increase in sentiment in the recent updates, with the analysts becoming a bit more optimistic in their predictions for losses per share, even though the revenue numbers fell somewhat.
考慮到最新的結果,assertio控股公司的五位分析師目前預計2025年的營收將達到12370萬美元,大致符合過去12個月的水平。每股虧損預計將在不久的將來大幅減少,降至0.06美元,而在本次盈利公告之前,分析師們曾對2025年的營收進行建模,預計爲12740萬美元,每股虧損爲0.062美元。最近的更新顯示情緒有所增長,儘管營收數字有所下降,但分析師們在對每股虧損的預測上變得稍微樂觀一些。
The analysts have cut their price target 10.0% to US$3.15per share, suggesting that the declining revenue was a more crucial indicator than the forecast reduction in losses. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. The most optimistic Assertio Holdings analyst has a price target of US$4.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$2.75. As you can see, analysts are not all in agreement on the stock's future, but the range of estimates is still reasonably narrow, which could suggest that the outcome is not totally unpredictable.
分析師們將他們的股價目標下調了10.0%,至每股3.15美元,表明下降的營收比預期的虧損削減更爲關鍵。一致的目標價只是個別分析師目標的平均值,所以查看基礎估值範圍有多廣泛可能會很有幫助。最樂觀的assertio控股分析師設定每股價格目標爲4.00美元,而最悲觀的則爲2.75美元。正如您所見,分析師們並不完全同意該股的未來,但估算範圍仍然相當狹窄,這可能意味着結果並非完全不可預測。
Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. One thing that stands out from these estimates is that shrinking revenues are expected to moderate over the period ending 2025 compared to the historical decline of 2.6% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 10% per year. So while a broad number of companies are forecast to grow, unfortunately Assertio Holdings is expected to see its revenue affected worse than other companies in the industry.
當然,審視這些預測的另一種方法是將其與行業本身進行比較。 從這些預估中突顯出的一個問題是,與過去五年每年2.6%的歷史下降相比,預計營業收入的萎縮預計將在截至2025年的期間內變緩。 相比之下,我們的數據顯示,預計在類似行業中的其他公司(受到分析師關注)的營收將每年增長10%。 因此,雖然預測到許多公司將增長,但不幸的是,Assertio Holdings預計其營業收入的受影響程度將比行業其他公司更嚴重。
The Bottom Line
最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。
The most important thing to take away is that the analysts reconfirmed their loss per share estimates for next year. Unfortunately, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and our data indicates underperformance compared to the wider industry. Even so, earnings per share are more important to the intrinsic value of the business. Even so, long term profitability is more important for the value creation process. Furthermore, the analysts also cut their price targets, suggesting that the latest news has led to greater pessimism about the intrinsic value of the business.
最重要的一點是分析師重新確認了他們對明年每股虧損的估計。 不幸的是,他們還下調了營業收入的預估值,而我們的數據顯示與整個行業相比表現不佳。 儘管如此,每股收益對業務的內在價值更爲重要。 儘管如此,長期盈利能力對於創造價值的過程更爲重要。此外,分析師還下調了他們的價格目標,暗示最新消息導致了對企業內在價值更大的悲觀情緒。
With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Assertio Holdings. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Assertio Holdings going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..
牢記這一點,我們不應該急於對Assertio Holdings做出結論。 長期的盈利能力比明年的利潤要重要得多。 在Simply Wall St,我們爲Assertio Holdings制定了截至2026年的全面分析師預估範圍,您可以在我們的平台免費查看這些預估。
Don't forget that there may still be risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Assertio Holdings that you should be aware of.
不要忘記仍然存在風險。 例如,我們已經發現Assertio Holdings存在1個警示信號,您應該注意。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。