Five9, Inc. (NASDAQ:FIVN) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 31% share price jump in the last month. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 37% in the last twelve months.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Five9's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Software industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 5.1x and even P/S above 13x are quite common. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
How Five9 Has Been Performing
With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Five9 has been relatively sluggish. Perhaps the market is expecting the current trend of poor revenue growth to continue, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Five9 will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Five9 would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 14% last year. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 78% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 12% each year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 20% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.
In light of this, it's understandable that Five9's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Bottom Line On Five9's P/S
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Five9's P/S close to the industry median. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As expected, our analysis of Five9's analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Five9 that we have uncovered.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.