Penumbra, Inc.'s (NYSE:PEN) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 7.8x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the Medical Equipment industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios below 3.2x and even P/S below 1.2x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
What Does Penumbra's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Penumbra has been doing relatively well. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Penumbra.
Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Penumbra?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Penumbra's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 17% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 64% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 14% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 9.3% per year, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we can see why Penumbra is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Penumbra's P/S?
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our look into Penumbra shows that its P/S ratio remains high on the merit of its strong future revenues. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Penumbra, and understanding should be part of your investment process.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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