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Redwire Corporation (NYSE:RDW) Released Earnings Last Week And Analysts Lifted Their Price Target To US$9.90

Redwire Corporation (NYSE:RDW) Released Earnings Last Week And Analysts Lifted Their Price Target To US$9.90

紅線公司(紐交所:RDW)上週發佈了收益報告,分析師們將其目標股價上調至9.90美元。
Simply Wall St ·  11/10 21:13

The analysts might have been a bit too bullish on Redwire Corporation (NYSE:RDW), given that the company fell short of expectations when it released its third-quarter results last week. Revenues missed expectations somewhat, coming in at US$69m, but statutory earnings fell catastrophically short, with a loss of US$0.37 some 190% larger than what the analysts had predicted. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.

分析師們可能對紅線公司 (NYSE: RDW) 過於看好了,因爲該公司上週發佈第三季度業績時未達到預期。營業收入略遜預期,爲6900萬美元,但覈定收益大幅不足,虧損0.37美元,比分析師預測的大約高出190%。在發佈結果後,分析師們更新了盈利模型,了解公司前景是否發生巨大變化或一切仍照舊將是明智之舉。因此,我們彙總了最新的盈後覈定一致預估,以了解明年可能發生的情況。

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NYSE:RDW Earnings and Revenue Growth November 10th 2024
紐交所: RDW2024年11月10日盈利與營收增長

Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from Redwire's five analysts is for revenues of US$361.1m in 2025. This reflects a substantial 21% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Losses are predicted to fall substantially, shrinking 73% to US$0.33. Before this latest report, the consensus had been expecting revenues of US$357.5m and US$0.27 per share in losses. So it's pretty clear the analysts have mixed opinions on Redwire even after this update; although they reconfirmed their revenue numbers, it came at the cost of a notable increase in per-share losses.

考慮最新的結果,紅線的五名分析師的一致預測是,2025年營業收入將達到36110萬美元。與過去12個月相比,這反映出營收大幅增長了21%。預計虧損將大幅下降,減少73% 至0.33美元。在此最新報告之前,一致預計營收爲35750萬美元,每股虧損爲0.27美元。因此,紅線的分析師們在此更新後依然存在分歧;雖然他們重新確認了營收數據,但這是以每股虧損大幅增加爲代價。

Although the analysts are now forecasting higher losses, the average price target rose 16% to 8.55, which could indicate that these losses are expected to be "one-off", or are not anticipated to have a longer-term impact on the business. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. There are some variant perceptions on Redwire, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$13.00 and the most bearish at US$6.00 per share. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.

儘管分析師現在預測虧損會增加,但平均價格目標上升了16%,達到8.55美元,這可能意味着這些虧損預計是「一次性的」,或者不會對業務產生長期影響。看一下分析師預測範圍也很值得,以評估離群意見與平均值有多大差異。對紅線存在一些不同看法,最看好的分析師將其估值爲13.00美元,而最看淡的爲6.00美元每股。這是一個相當廣泛的估測範圍,表明分析師們預測業務可能有着一系列可能的結果。

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Redwire's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 17% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 37% over the past five years. Juxtapose this against the other companies in the industry with analyst coverage, which are forecast to grow their revenues (in aggregate) 4.3% per year. So it's pretty clear that, while Redwire's revenue growth is expected to slow, it's still expected to grow faster than the industry itself.

現在從更大的圖景來看,我們可以通過將這些預測與過去的業績和行業增長預估進行比較來理解這些預測。很明顯,人們預期Redwire的營業收入增長將顯着放緩,預計到2025年底,其年化基礎上預計將展示17%的增長。與過去五年37%的歷史增長率相比。將這與行業中其他被分析師覆蓋的公司的情況相對比,這些公司預計(總體上)每年營收增長4.3%。因此,很明顯,儘管人們預計Redwire的營業收入增長將放緩,但仍預計將比行業本身增長更快。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。

The most important thing to note is the forecast of increased losses next year, suggesting all may not be well at Redwire. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. We note an upgrade to the price target, suggesting that the analysts believes the intrinsic value of the business is likely to improve over time.

最重要的是注意到明年預計虧損增加,這表明Redwire可能並非一切都如人意。令人高興的是,營業收入預測沒有發生重大變化,業務仍預計將比更廣泛的行業增長更快。我們注意到價格目標的提升,這意味着分析師認爲業務的內在價值可能會隨時間改喡。

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Redwire. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have estimates - from multiple Redwire analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

考慮到這一點,我們不應該過快得出關於Redwire的結論。長期盈利能力比明年的利潤更重要。我們有來自多位Redwire分析師的預測,截至2026年,您可以在我們的平台上免費查看。

Plus, you should also learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Redwire .

此外,您還應該了解我們在Redwire發現的2個警告信號。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

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