Is MGM Resorts International (NYSE:MGM) A Risky Investment?
Is MGM Resorts International (NYSE:MGM) A Risky Investment?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that MGM Resorts International (NYSE:MGM) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
由伯克希爾哈撒韋的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李錄坦言,'最大的投資風險不在於價格的波動,而在於是否會遭受永久性的資本損失。' 因此,聰明的投資者似乎知道,債務——通常涉及破產——是一個評估公司風險性的非常重要因素。我們注意到紐交所上的美高梅國際(NYSE:MGM)的資產負債表中確實有債務。但股東們應該擔心公司使用債務嗎?
When Is Debt A Problem?
什麼時候負債才是一個問題?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
一般來說,只有當一家公司無法輕鬆償還債務時,債務才會成爲一個真正的問題,無論是通過籌集資本還是通過自有現金流。最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能一無所獲。然而,更頻繁(但仍然昂貴)出現的問題是,公司必須以低價發行股票,永久性稀釋股東的股權,以穩固其資產負債表。當然,債務對於企業來說可以是一個重要的工具,特別是對於資本密集型企業而言。考慮一家公司的債務水平時,首先要考慮其現金和債務的組合。
What Is MGM Resorts International's Debt?
美高梅國際的債務是什麼?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 MGM Resorts International had debt of US$6.91b, up from US$6.51b in one year. However, it also had US$2.95b in cash, and so its net debt is US$3.96b.
下面的圖片,您點擊可查看更詳細的內容,顯示2024年9月美高梅國際的債務爲69.1億美元,比一年前的65.1億美元有所增加。然而,它也有29.5億美元的現金,因此淨債務爲39.6億美元。
A Look At MGM Resorts International's Liabilities
美高梅國際的負債情況
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that MGM Resorts International had liabilities of US$3.89b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$35.0b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$2.95b in cash and US$1.18b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$34.8b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that 美高梅國際 had liabilities of US$38.9億 due within 12 months and liabilities of US$350億 due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$29.5億 in cash and US$11.8億 in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$348億 more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit casts a shadow over the US$10.9b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, MGM Resorts International would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.
This deficit casts a shadow over the US$109億 company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, 美高梅國際 would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
通過查看公司的淨債務與利息、稅、折舊、攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)之比以及它的利息費用(利息覆蓋率)可以衡量一個公司的債務負擔與收益能力。因此,我們考慮將債務與有無計算折舊和攤銷費用的收益相對比。
MGM Resorts International's net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 1.5 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 6.2 times last year. While that doesn't worry us too much, it does suggest the interest payments are somewhat of a burden. Even more impressive was the fact that MGM Resorts International grew its EBIT by 1,133% over twelve months. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine MGM Resorts International's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
美高梅國際的淨債務/EBITDA比率爲1.5倍,而去年利息支出則是EBIT的6.2倍。雖然這並不太擔心我們,但這表明利息支付可能有些負擔。更令人印象深刻的是, 美高梅國際過去12個月將其EBIT增長了1,133%。這種提振將使其未來更容易償還債務。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但最終,決定美高梅國際能否保持健康資產負債表的將是未來的收入,而不是其他任何因素。因此,如果您想了解專家的看法,您可能會發現分析師盈利預測的此免費報告很有趣。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last two years, MGM Resorts International actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.
但我們最後的考慮也很重要,因爲一家公司無法用紙面利潤來償還債務;它需要冰冷的現金。因此,值得查看多少EBIT由自由現金流支撐。在過去的兩年中, 美高梅國際實際上產生的自由現金流比EBIT還要多。這種強勁的現金產生讓我們心裏暖暖的,就像穿着蜜蜂服裝的小狗一樣。
Our View
我們的觀點
Based on what we've seen MGM Resorts International is not finding it easy, given its level of total liabilities, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. In particular, we are dazzled with its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about MGM Resorts International's debt levels. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for MGM Resorts International that you should be aware of before investing here.
根據我們所看到的,美高梅國際並不容易,考慮到它的總負債水平,但我們考慮的其他因素讓我們有理由樂觀。特別是,它將EBIt轉化爲自由現金流的表現讓我們感到印象深刻。查看所有這些數據讓我們對美高梅國際的債務水平感到有些謹慎。雖然我們欣賞債務可以增強股本回報率,但我們建議股東密切關注其債務水平,以免增加。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中最能了解債務。但最終,每家公司都可能存在超出資產負債表範圍的風險。例如,我們發現了美高梅國際的2個警示信號,在投資前您應該注意這些。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有債務負擔的股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,立即發現我們獨家的淨現金增長股票列表。
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