Results: OPKO Health, Inc. Confounded Analyst Expectations With A Surprise Profit
Results: OPKO Health, Inc. Confounded Analyst Expectations With A Surprise Profit
The quarterly results for OPKO Health, Inc. (NASDAQ:OPK) were released last week, making it a good time to revisit its performance. Revenues of US$174m missed analyst estimates by a little bit, but statutory earnings beat expectations by an impressive , coming in at US$0.03 per share. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.
opko健康公司(NASDAQ:OPK)上週發佈了季度業績,現在是重新審視其業績的好時機。營業收入爲17400萬美元,略低於分析師的預期,但法定收益卻令人印象深刻,每股達到0.03美元。分析師通常會在每個業績後更新他們的預測,我們可以根據他們的估值判斷公司的看法是否已經改變,或者是否有任何需要注意的新問題。我們認爲讀者會覺得有趣去看到分析師最新(法定的)業績後對明年的預測。
Following the recent earnings report, the consensus from six analysts covering OPKO Health is for revenues of US$693.6m in 2025. This implies a noticeable 2.5% decline in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share losses are expected to explode, reaching US$0.27 per share. Before this earnings announcement, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$714.8m and losses of US$0.28 per share in 2025. It looks like there's been a modest increase in sentiment in the recent updates, with the analysts becoming a bit more optimistic in their predictions for losses per share, even though the revenue numbers fell somewhat.
根據最近的收益報告,覆蓋OPKO Health的六位分析師的一致看法是,2025年營業收入將達到69360萬美元。這意味着與過去12個月相比,營收將顯着下降2.5%。 預計每股虧損將激增,達到0.27美元。在這一收益公告之前,分析師一直在預計2025年的營收爲71480萬美元,每股虧損爲0.28美元。 看起來最近的更新中情緒略微增強,分析師在對每股虧損的預測上變得更加樂觀,儘管營收數字有所下降。
There was no major change to the US$3.96average price target, suggesting that the adjustments to revenue and earnings are not expected to have a long-term impact on the business. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. There are some variant perceptions on OPKO Health, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$8.50 and the most bearish at US$2.00 per share. With such a wide range in price targets, analysts are almost certainly betting on widely divergent outcomes in the underlying business. As a result it might not be a great idea to make decisions based on the consensus price target, which is after all just an average of this wide range of estimates.
平均目標價3.96美元沒有發生重大變化,這表明營收和盈利的調整預計不會對業務產生長期影響。 焦點放在一個單一的目標價上可能不明智,因爲共識目標實際上是分析師目標價的平均數。 因此,一些投資者喜歡查看各種估值範圍,以查看對公司價值的看法是否有分歧。關於opko健康,對於最看好的分析師的估值爲8.50美元,最看淡的爲每股2.00美元。 由於目標價範圍如此廣泛,分析師幾乎可以肯定在公司基本業務的不同結果上打賭。 因此,基於共識目標價做出決策可能不是一個好主意,畢竟這只是各種估值範圍的平均值。
Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. We would also point out that the forecast 2.0% annualised revenue decline to the end of 2025 is better than the historical trend, which saw revenues shrink 7.7% annually over the past five years By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 6.6% per year. So while a broad number of companies are forecast to grow, unfortunately OPKO Health is expected to see its revenue affected worse than other companies in the industry.
當然,觀察這些預測的另一種方式是將其與行業本身聯繫起來。我們還要指出,截至2025年底,預計年化收入下降2.0%,比過去五年每年收入下降7.7%的歷史趨勢要好。相比之下,我們的數據顯示,在同行業受到分析師關注的其他公司預計其年收入增長6.6%。因此,儘管預計大多數公司將實現增長,不幸的是,opko健康預計其收入受到的影響比行業內其他公司更嚴重。
The Bottom Line
最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。
The most obvious conclusion is that the analysts made no changes to their forecasts for a loss next year. Unfortunately, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and our data indicates underperformance compared to the wider industry. Even so, earnings per share are more important to the intrinsic value of the business. Even so, earnings per share are more important to the intrinsic value of the business. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.
最明顯的結論是,分析師們對明年的虧損預測沒有做出任何更改。不幸的是,他們還下調了收入預期,而我們的數據顯示,與整個行業相比,表現不佳。即便如此,每股收益對企業內在價值更爲重要。即便如此,每股收益對企業內在價值更爲重要。共識價格目標沒有真正變化,這表明企業的內在價值在最新的估計中並未發生任何重大變化。
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple OPKO Health analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.
話雖如此,公司盈利的長期軌跡比明年更爲重要。我們從多位opko健康分析師那裏得到了截止到2026年的估計數據,您可以在我們的平台上免費查看。
You can also see whether OPKO Health is carrying too much debt, and whether its balance sheet is healthy, for free on our platform here.
您還可以免費在我們的平台上查看opko健康是否負債過重,以及其資產負債表是否健康。
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譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。