Is Natera (NASDAQ:NTRA) Using Debt In A Risky Way?
Is Natera (NASDAQ:NTRA) Using Debt In A Risky Way?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Natera, Inc. (NASDAQ:NTRA) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
由伯克希爾·哈撒韋的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李錄,在談到投資風險時毫不諱言,他說'最大的投資風險不在於價格的波動,而在於是否會遭受資本的永久損失。'因此,看起來明智的資金知道,債務(通常涉及破產)是公司風險評估中的一個非常重要因素。與許多其他公司一樣,natera, Inc.(納斯達克:NTRA)使用債務。但這些債務是否讓股東擔憂呢?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
債務何時有危險?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
債務能夠在企業缺乏新資本或自由現金流的情況下提供幫助。在最壞的情況下,公司無法支付其債權人的情況下可能會破產。但是,更常見的情況是,公司需要以較低的價格籌集新的股本資本,從而永久地稀釋股東的權益。然而,在替代稀釋的情況下,債務可以是一種極好的工具,可爲需要在高回報率下進行成長投資的企業提供資本。當我們檢查債務水平時,我們首先考慮現金和債務水平。
How Much Debt Does Natera Carry?
Natera承擔了多少債務?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Natera had US$364.0m in debt in June 2024; about the same as the year before. But it also has US$887.1m in cash to offset that, meaning it has US$523.1m net cash.
下面的圖表(點擊可查看更詳細信息)顯示,2024年6月,Natera的債務爲36400萬美元;與前一年差不多。但它也有88710萬美元的現金來抵消這筆債務,這意味着它擁有52310萬美元的淨現金。
How Strong Is Natera's Balance Sheet?
Natera的資產負債表有多牢固?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Natera had liabilities of US$314.6m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$365.9m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$887.1m in cash and US$335.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast US$542.6m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
深入研究最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,Natera在12個月內到期的負債爲31460萬美元,而在此之後到期的負債爲36590萬美元。與此相抵,它擁有88710萬美元的現金和33590萬美元的應收款項,在12個月內到期。因此,它可以誇示出比總負債多54260萬美元的流動資產。
This short term liquidity is a sign that Natera could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Simply put, the fact that Natera has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Natera can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
這種短期流動性表明Natera可能可以輕鬆償還債務,因爲其資產負債表遠非緊繃。簡而言之,Natera擁有比債務更多的現金這一事實可能是一個良好的跡象,表明其可以安全地管理債務。毫無疑問,我們大多數關於債務的信息都來源於資產負債表。但最終,業務未來的盈利能力將決定Natera是否能夠長期加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。
Over 12 months, Natera reported revenue of US$1.4b, which is a gain of 46%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.
在過去12個月中,Natera報告的營業收入爲14億美元,同比增長了46%,儘管它沒有報告任何利息和稅前收益。股東們可能在期待它能夠實現盈利增長。
So How Risky Is Natera?
那麼Natera的風險有多大?
Statistically speaking companies that lose money are riskier than those that make money. And in the last year Natera had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, truth be told. Indeed, in that time it burnt through US$118m of cash and made a loss of US$292m. While this does make the company a bit risky, it's important to remember it has net cash of US$523.1m. That kitty means the company can keep spending for growth for at least two years, at current rates. With very solid revenue growth in the last year, Natera may be on a path to profitability. Pre-profit companies are often risky, but they can also offer great rewards. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Natera has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
從統計學角度來看,虧損的公司比盈利的公司風險更高。而在過去一年中,Natera的利息和稅前收益(EBIT)虧損,說實話。事實上,在那段時間裏,它燒掉了11800萬美元現金,虧損了29200萬美元。雖然這使得公司有點風險,但重要的是要記住它有淨現金52310萬美元。這筆現金意味着公司可以在當前速度下至少持續兩年的增長支出。在過去一年中,Natera的營收增長非常穩健,可能正在走向盈利。未盈利的公司通常存在風險,但它們也可以提供豐厚的回報。在分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是需要關注的領域。但最終,每家公司都可能存在不在資產負債表內的風險。例如 - Natera有1個警示標誌,我們認爲您應該注意。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
當一切塵埃落定時,有時更容易專注於那些甚至不需要債務的公司。讀者可以立即免費查看零淨債務的成長股列表。
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