Results: Morgan Stanley Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts
Results: Morgan Stanley Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts
Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) investors will be delighted, with the company turning in some strong numbers with its latest results. Morgan Stanley beat earnings, with revenues hitting US$15b, ahead of expectations, and statutory earnings per share outperforming analyst reckonings by a solid 19%. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.
摩根士丹利(紐交所:MS)的投資者將感到高興,因爲公司最新業績顯示出色。摩根士丹利在盈利方面表現強勁,營業收入達到150億美元,超出預期,並且每股收益也比分析師的預測高出19%。在發佈業績之後,分析師已更新了他們的盈利模型,值得關注的是,他們認爲公司前景是否發生了巨大變化,還是業務仍在正常運行。因此,我們收集了最新的業績預測數據,以了解下一年的預期。
Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Morgan Stanley's 18 analysts is for revenues of US$62.6b in 2025. This would reflect a modest 7.5% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to grow 19% to US$7.86. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$62.4b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$7.85 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.
考慮到最新的業績,摩根士丹利的18位分析師目前達成共識,預計2025年營收將達到626億美元。這將反映過去12個月營收的適度增長7.5%。法定每股收益預計增長19%至7.86美元。在發佈這份報告之前,分析師預測2025年的營收爲624億美元,每股收益爲7.85美元。共識的分析師似乎沒有在這些數據中看到任何會改變他們對該業務的看法的因素,因爲他們的估計沒有發生重大變化。
The analysts reconfirmed their price target of US$117, showing that the business is executing well and in line with expectations. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. The most optimistic Morgan Stanley analyst has a price target of US$135 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$97.00. There are definitely some different views on the stock, but the range of estimates is not wide enough as to imply that the situation is unforecastable, in our view.
分析師們重申了他們將摩根士丹利的目標股價設定爲117美元,顯示業務的表現良好且符合預期。然而,看待目標價格還有另一種方式,就是觀察分析師提出的價格目標範圍,因爲衆多價值估計的範圍可能暗示對企業可能結果的不同看法。最爲樂觀的摩根士丹利分析師設定的股價目標爲135美元,而最爲悲觀的爲97.00美元。股票存在不同的看法,但估值的範圍並不足以暗示情況無法預測,根據我們的觀點。
Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. We can infer from the latest estimates that forecasts expect a continuation of Morgan Stanley'shistorical trends, as the 6.0% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 is roughly in line with the 5.6% annual growth over the past five years. Juxtapose this against our data, which suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 5.8% per year. It's clear that while Morgan Stanley's revenue growth is expected to continue on its current trajectory, it's only expected to grow in line with the industry itself.
現在,讓我們放眼更大的格局,了解這些預測與過去業績和行業增長預估的對比方式之一。我們可以從最新預估中推測,預期摩根士丹利歷史趨勢將繼續,截至2025年底的年增長率爲6.0%,大致與過去五年的5.6%年均增長率相符。將此與我們的數據進行對比,顯示行業中其他(有分析師覆蓋的)公司被預測其年均營收增長率爲5.8%。顯然,雖然預計摩根士丹利的營收增長將繼續沿着目前的軌跡,但預計的增長只會與行業自身保持一致。
The Bottom Line
最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。
The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Happily, there were no real changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow in line with the overall industry. The consensus price target held steady at US$117, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.
最重要的是,市場情緒並未發生重大變化,分析師再次確認業務的表現與之前的每股收益預期一致。令人高興的是,營業收入預測並未發生實質性變化,業務仍有望與整個行業板塊一起增長。共識的價格目標穩定在117美元,最新估值尚不足以對其價格目標產生影響。
Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Morgan Stanley going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..
延續這種思路,我們認爲業務的長期前景比明年的收益更加重要。在Simply Wall St,我們對摩根士丹利的2026年各種分析師預測進行了全面覆蓋,您可以在我們的平台上免費查看。
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Morgan Stanley that you need to take into consideration.
值得注意的是,我們發現了摩根士丹利的2個警示信號,您需要考慮。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。