Is International Seaways (NYSE:INSW) A Risky Investment?
Is International Seaways (NYSE:INSW) A Risky Investment?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies International Seaways, Inc. (NYSE:INSW) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
禾倫•巴菲特曾有言:「波動性與風險遠非同義詞。」因此,看起來聰明的投資者知道,在評估一家公司有多大風險時,通常與破產有關的債務是一個非常重要的因素。與許多其他公司一樣,international seaways股份有限公司(紐交所:INSW)利用債務。但這種債務是否會讓股東擔憂呢?
When Is Debt A Problem?
什麼時候負債才是一個問題?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
一般來說,當公司無法輕鬆地通過籌集資本或自有現金流來償還債務時,債務才變成真正的問題。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法償還其債權人,它可能會破產。雖然這不太常見,但我們經常看到,由於貸方以低價迫使它們籌集資本,所以負債的公司會永久性地稀釋股東。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地管理其債務,並從中受益。在考慮業務使用的債務量時,首先要做的是查看其現金和負債。
What Is International Seaways's Net Debt?
international seaways的淨債務是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that International Seaways had US$144.6m of debt in June 2024, down from US$318.6m, one year before. However, its balance sheet shows it holds US$180.7m in cash, so it actually has US$36.1m net cash.
您可以點擊下方的圖表查看歷史數據,但數據顯示,國際海運在2024年6月的債務爲14460萬美元,比一年前的31860萬美元減少。然而,其資產負債表顯示,公司持有18070萬美元現金,因此實際擁有3610萬美元淨現金。
A Look At International Seaways' Liabilities
國際遠洋負債情況一覽
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that International Seaways had liabilities of US$111.7m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$675.5m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$180.7m and US$239.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$366.7m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
從最近的資產負債表可以看出,國際遠洋有11170萬美元的短期到期負債,以及67550萬美元的長期到期負債。另一方面,其手頭現金爲18070萬美元,應收賬款中有23990萬美元是短期應收賬款。因此,其負債總額比現金和短期應收賬款合計多出36670萬美元。
Of course, International Seaways has a market capitalization of US$2.15b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. While it does have liabilities worth noting, International Seaways also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
當然,國際遠洋的市值爲21.5億美元,因此這些負債可能是可以管理的。但是我們還是建議股東繼續關注資產負債表的情況。雖然它確實有一些值得注意的負債,但國際遠洋的現金比債務多,所以我們相當有信心它可以安全地管理債務。
It is just as well that International Seaways's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 26% over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine International Seaways's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
很幸運的是,國際遠洋的負擔並不太重,因爲其稅息前利潤在過去一年下降了26%。收益下降(如果趨勢持續)最終可能使即使是適度的債務也變得相當危險。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時要關注的領域。但更重要的是,未來的盈利將決定國際遠洋維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果您想了解專業人士的看法,您可能會發現分析師盈利預測的免費報告很有趣。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. International Seaways may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the most recent three years, International Seaways recorded free cash flow worth 54% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
最後,雖然稅務部門可能喜愛會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冰冷的現金。國際遠洋的資產負債表可能有淨現金,但關注業務將手頭稅息前利潤(EBIt)轉化爲自由現金流的能力也很有趣,因爲這將影響其債務需求和管理能力。在過去三年中,國際遠洋記錄的自由現金流價值相當於其EBIt的54%,這在正常範圍內,因爲自由現金流不包括利息和稅金。這份自由現金流使公司有能力在適當時償還債務。
Summing Up
總之
While International Seaways does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of US$36.1m. So we are not troubled with International Seaways's debt use. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for International Seaways (1 shouldn't be ignored) you should be aware of.
儘管國際海運的負債比流動資產多,但它也有3610萬美元的淨現金。所以我們對國際海運的債務使用並不擔憂。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表上能學到關於債務的大部分知識。然而,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。例如,我們已經發現了3個國際海運的警示信號(1個不應被忽視),你應該注意。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有債務負擔的股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,立即發現我們獨家的淨現金增長股票列表。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。