Nurix Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:NRIX) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 25% gain in the last month alone. This latest share price bounce rounds out a remarkable 384% gain over the last twelve months.
After such a large jump in price, Nurix Therapeutics may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 33.9x, since almost half of all companies in the Biotechs industry in the United States have P/S ratios under 12.2x and even P/S lower than 4x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
How Nurix Therapeutics Has Been Performing
Nurix Therapeutics hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Nurix Therapeutics will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
How Is Nurix Therapeutics' Revenue Growth Trending?
Nurix Therapeutics' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 18% decrease to the company's top line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 94% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 15% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 129% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
In light of this, it's alarming that Nurix Therapeutics' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Nurix Therapeutics' P/S?
Shares in Nurix Therapeutics have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
It comes as a surprise to see Nurix Therapeutics trade at such a high P/S given the revenue forecasts look less than stellar. The weakness in the company's revenue estimate doesn't bode well for the elevated P/S, which could take a fall if the revenue sentiment doesn't improve. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Nurix Therapeutics (1 is concerning!) that you need to take into consideration.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.