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晶苑国际(02232.HK):卓越的跨国制衣集团 追寻朝阳永不停歇

Jingyuan International (02232.HK): Outstanding Multinational Garment Group Never Stops Pursuing Chaoyang

Key investment points

Report guide: After 50 years of deep cultivation in the garment industry, Jingyuan has continuously consolidated its comprehensive strength and expanded its circle of capabilities. Currently, it has built a diversified product portfolio spanning five categories and a multi-country manufacturing platform, and has established long-term partnerships with leading global clothing brands, building Jingyuan's leading position in the ready-to-wear manufacturing industry.

The world's leading garment manufacturer with more than 50 years of experience in garment making. Jingyuan International was founded in 1970 and listed on the Stock Exchange in 2017. It has 23 factories in 5 countries around the world, employs about 0.065 million people, has an annual garment production capacity of 0.47 billion pieces, an operating income of 2.18 billion US dollars in 2023, and a net profit of 0.16 billion US dollars. In the global garment manufacturing industry, Jingyuan ranks first in terms of output and second in terms of output value.

The product matrix is rich and deeply binds the world's leading brand customers. Jingyuan continues to expand its categories through internal development and strategic acquisitions. Currently, it has formed a diversified product portfolio in five major categories, covering casual wear, sportswear and outdoor wear, jeans, underwear, and sweaters. Each sector accounts for 28%/22%/21%/18%/10% of revenue in 2023. The company has deep cooperation with 7 of the world's top ten apparel brands, including Uniqlo, Levis, GAP, and Vectoria's Secret. In particular, after expanding the sportswear category in '16, the company successively established partnerships with Nike, Adidas, and Lululemon. The top five customers accounted for 62% of revenue in the first five of 2023.

Forward-looking layout of overseas production capacity, vertical integration enhances fast reaction capability. The company began expanding overseas production capacity in the early 70s. It established production bases in Vietnam, Bangladesh, Cambodia and Sri Lanka in 2003/2006/2011/2018, respectively. In 23, the proportion of overseas employees reached 82%. Among them, Vietnam was the largest production base, accounting for 49% of employees. The company began a vertical layout in 2021, expanding the upstream fabric business through acquisitions and self-building cloth factories, and integrating supply-side production capacity to shorten delivery times.

Profit forecasting and valuation

As a global garment leader with outstanding capabilities, Jingyuan has diverse product categories, perfect global production capacity layout, and binding leading high-quality brand customers. In particular, the newly developed sportswear and outdoor clothing categories are still growing rapidly. We believe the company can expect to continue to increase its market share and achieve steady growth on traditional racetracks.

We expect the company to achieve 2.47/2.81/3.18 billion US dollars in 24-26, an increase of 13.5%/13.8%/13.0% year-on-year; net profit to mother of 0.198/0.231/0.267 billion US dollars, an increase of 21%/17%/16%, corresponding to 8/7/6 times PE, which is significantly lower than the leading garment industry. Taking into account the company's steady growth expectations and low water level valuation, it was covered for the first time and given a “buy” rating.

Risk warning

Risk of fluctuations in raw material prices, risk of changes in global trade policies, failure to sales expectations or transfer orders from major customers

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