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Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

公務集團公司剛剛超過了盈利預期:分析師認爲接下來會發生什麼
Simply Wall St ·  11/07 18:42

As you might know, Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated (NYSE:PEG) just kicked off its latest third-quarter results with some very strong numbers. Results were good overall, with revenues beating analyst predictions by 2.3% to hit US$2.6b. Statutory earnings per share (EPS) came in at US$1.04, some 8.9% above whatthe analysts had expected. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

正如您所知,Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated (NYSE:PEG) 剛剛發佈了最新的第三季度業績,數據顯示非常強勁。總體而言,業績表現良好,營業收入超過分析師預期的2.3%,達到了26億美元。每股收益(EPS)爲1.04美元,比分析師預期高出8.9%。根據這一結果,分析師已經更新了他們的盈利模型,了解他們是否認爲公司前景發生了重大變化,還是一切照舊將會很有意思。我們認爲讀者會發現他們最新的(法定)盈利後預測對明年很有趣。

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NYSE:PEG Earnings and Revenue Growth November 7th 2024
NYSE:PEG 2024年11月7日盈利和營業收入增長

Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Public Service Enterprise Group's 14 analysts is for revenues of US$11.1b in 2025. This would reflect an okay 6.7% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory per share are forecast to be US$4.03, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$11.1b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$4.08 in 2025. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

考慮到最新的結果,Public Service Enterprise Group的14名分析師目前一致預測2025年的營業收入爲111億美元。這將反映過去12個月內其營業收入的適度增長,約爲6.7%。法定每股預計爲4.03美元,與過去12個月基本持平。在此次盈利報告之前,分析師曾預測2025年的營業收入爲111億美元,每股收益(EPS)爲4.08美元。因此很明顯,儘管分析師已更新其估算,但對公司的期望沒有發生重大變化。

There were no changes to revenue or earnings estimates or the price target of US$88.28, suggesting that the company has met expectations in its recent result. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. The most optimistic Public Service Enterprise Group analyst has a price target of US$102 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$68.00. This shows there is still a bit of diversity in estimates, but analysts don't appear to be totally split on the stock as though it might be a success or failure situation.

對於最近的業績,營業收入或盈利預測以及88.28美元的目標價均未發生變化,這表明公司符合了市場預期。然而,固守單一的目標價可能是不明智的,因爲共識目標實質上是分析師目標價的平均值。因此,一些投資者喜歡查看估值範圍,以確定對公司的估值是否存在分歧。最樂觀的Public Service Enterprise Group分析師給出了每股102美元的目標價,而最悲觀者爲68.00美元。這顯示估值仍存在一定多樣性,但分析師似乎並未完全對該股票存在分歧,因此可能不會出現成功或失敗的情況。

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's clear from the latest estimates that Public Service Enterprise Group's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 5.3% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 2.6% p.a. over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 5.5% annually. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Public Service Enterprise Group is expected to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry.

現在來看整體情況,我們了解這些預測的方式之一是看看它們與過去表現和行業增長預測的比較。從最新的預測來看,公務集團的增長速度有望明顯加快,預計到2025年年化營業收入增長率爲5.3%,明顯快於過去五年的歷史增長2.6%每年。將其與同行業其他公司相比,預計每年增長5.5%。考慮到營業收入預計加速增長,很明顯,公務集團預計將以與整個行業相近的速度增長。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. They also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, with the company predicted to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

最重要的是,分析師再次確認業務績效符合他們之前的每股收益估計值。他們還確認了營收預測,預計該公司將以與整個行業大致相同的速度增長。共識價格目標沒有實質性變化,這表明業務內在價值沒有隨着最新估算髮生任何重大變化。

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Public Service Enterprise Group. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Public Service Enterprise Group going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

因此,我們不應該急於對公務集團做出結論。長期的盈利能力比明年的利潤更加重要。在Simply Wall St,我們有關於公務集團截至2026年的多家分析師預測,您可以免費在我們的平台上查看。

Even so, be aware that Public Service Enterprise Group is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those doesn't sit too well with us...

即便如此,要注意到公務集團在我們的投資分析中顯示了3個警示信號,其中有1個讓我們感到不太滿意...

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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