Allot Ltd. (NASDAQ:ALLT) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 26% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The annual gain comes to 144% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.
Even after such a large jump in price, Allot may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.5x, since almost half of all companies in the Software industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 5.2x and even P/S higher than 13x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
How Has Allot Performed Recently?
Allot hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.
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Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as Allot's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 13%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 35% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 4.9% each year during the coming three years according to the two analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 20% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this in consideration, its clear as to why Allot's P/S is falling short industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
What Does Allot's P/S Mean For Investors?
Allot's recent share price jump still sees fails to bring its P/S alongside the industry median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
As we suspected, our examination of Allot's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Allot that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Allot, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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