Is Canadian Natural Resources Stock a Good Buy?
Is Canadian Natural Resources Stock a Good Buy?
Canadian Natural Resources (TSX:CNQ) is down about 7% in the past six months. Investors who missed the big rally early in the year are wondering if CNQ stock is now undervalued and good to buy for a self-directed Tax-Free Savings Account (TFSA) or Registered Retirement Savings Plan (RRSP) focused on dividends and total returns.
加拿大自然資源部(TSX: CNQ)在過去六個月中下跌了約7%。錯過年初大幅上漲的投資者想知道CNQ股票現在是否被低估了,是否適合購買以股息和總回報爲重點的自管免稅儲蓄賬戶(TFSA)或註冊退休儲蓄計劃(RRSP)。
CNQ stock price
CNQ 股價
CNRL trades near $48 per share at the time of writing. The stock was as high as $56 in April but has trended lower on weaker energy prices in recent months.
在撰寫本文時,CNRL的交易價格接近每股48美元。該股在4月份高達56美元,但由於最近幾個月能源價格疲軟,該股一直走低。
The company is Canada's largest energy producer on the TSX, with a current market capitalization near $100 billion.
該公司是加拿大多倫多證券交易所最大的能源生產商,目前市值接近1000億美元。
Operations
運營
CNRL is somewhat unique in the Canadian energy sector due to the diversified nature of its production operations. The company is best known for its oil sands production, but CNRL also has conventional heavy oil, light oil, offshore oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids assets. In most cases, CNRL is the sole owner of the assets. This gives management the flexibility to move capital around the portfolio relatively quickly to take advantage of the best opportunities in the market.
由於其生產業務的多元化,CNRL在加拿大能源領域有些獨一無二。該公司以其油砂生產而聞名,但CNRL還擁有傳統的重油、輕油、海上石油、天然氣和液化天然氣資產。在大多數情況下,CNRL是資產的唯一所有者。這使管理層可以靈活地相對較快地在投資組合中轉移資金,以利用市場上的最佳機會。
CNRL has a long track record of driving growth through strategic acquisitions. The company recently announced a deal to buy assets from Chevron Canada for US$6.5 billion in cash. The assets include a 20% interest in the Athabasca Oil Sands Project (AOSP), bringing CNRL's stake in AOSP to 90%. The other assets include Chevron's 70% working interest in light crude oil assets in the Duvernay play located in Alberta.
CNRL在通過戰略收購推動增長方面有着悠久的記錄。該公司最近宣佈了一項協議,以65億美元現金從加拿大雪佛龍購買資產。這些資產包括阿薩巴斯卡油砂項目(AOSP)20%的權益,使CNRL在AOSP的股份達到90%。其他資產包括雪佛龍在位於艾伯塔省的杜弗奈油田中持有的輕質原油資產70%的營運權益。
Opportunities
機會
The completion of the Trans Mountain pipeline expansion earlier this year is giving CNRL, and its peers added capacity to move oil to international markets via British Columbia. This should help narrow the price differential between Western Canadian Select and West Texas International, which has hurt Canadian producers in the past due to pipeline bottlenecks.
今年早些時候,跨山管道擴建工程的完成使CNRL及其同行增加了通過不列顛哥倫比亞省向國際市場輸送石油的能力。這應該有助於縮小加拿大西部精選和西德克薩斯國際之間的價格差異,西德克薩斯國際過去曾因管道瓶頸而傷害過加拿大的生產商。
At the same time, the opening of the Coastal GasLink natural gas pipeline in 2025 will give producers access to international markets through a new liquified natural gas (LNG) facility being built on the coast of British Columbia.
同時,2025年Coastal GasLink天然氣管道的開通將使生產商能夠通過在不列顛哥倫比亞省海岸建造的新液化天然氣(LNG)設施進入國際市場。
Dividends
分紅
The addition of the newly acquired assets will boost cash flow and is part of the reason CNRL has announced a 7% dividend increase for 2025. This marks the 25th consecutive year of dividend hikes for the company. That's an impressive track record in a sector that relies on the fluctuations of commodity prices. CNRL's diversified assets and its ability to make strategic acquisitions at opportune times have provided the support needed to raise the dividend steadily, even during difficult times in the oil and gas markets.
新收購資產的增加將增加現金流,這也是CNRL宣佈2025年股息增加7%的部分原因。這標誌着該公司連續第25年提高股息。在一個依賴大宗商品價格波動的行業中,這是一個令人印象深刻的記錄。即使在石油和天然氣市場的困難時期,CNRL的多元化資產及其在適當時機進行戰略收購的能力也爲穩步提高股息提供了所需的支持。
At the time of writing, CNRL stock provides a dividend yield of 4.7%.
在撰寫本文時,CNRL股票的股息收益率爲4.7%。
Risks
風險
Weak oil demand from China and rising production in countries like Canada and the United States are expected to result in supply surpluses in the coming year. This could extend the recent pressure on oil prices for some time. A wave of new LNG supplies on the global market could also impact prices, even as demand is expected to remain robust as countries look to secure reliable supplies of natural gas to fuel power-generation stations being built to meet growth in electricity demand.
預計中國石油需求疲軟以及加拿大和美國等國家產量的增加將導致來年的供應盈餘。這可能會將最近的油價壓力延長一段時間。全球市場上新的液化天然氣供應浪潮也可能影響價格,儘管隨着各國尋求爲滿足電力需求增長而建造的燃料發電站確保可靠的天然氣供應,需求預計將保持強勁。
Should you buy CNQ now?
你現在應該購買 CNQ 嗎?
Near-term headwinds might persist for energy prices. That being said, CNRL pays an attractive dividend that should continue to grow, even during times of lower margins. If you are an energy bull and have some cash to put to work, this stock deserves to be on your radar for a buy-and-hold dividend portfolio.
能源價格的短期不利因素可能會持續存在。話雖如此,CNRL支付了誘人的股息,即使在利潤率較低的時期,該股息也應該會繼續增長。如果你是能源牛市並且有一些現金可以使用,那麼這隻股票值得你關注買入並持有的股息投資組合。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。