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The 3.2% Return This Week Takes Simply Good Foods' (NASDAQ:SMPL) Shareholders Five-year Gains to 42%

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 6 22:40

When you buy and hold a stock for the long term, you definitely want it to provide a positive return. Better yet, you'd like to see the share price move up more than the market average. But The Simply Good Foods Company (NASDAQ:SMPL) has fallen short of that second goal, with a share price rise of 42% over five years, which is below the market return. The last year has been disappointing, with the stock price down 8.4% in that time.

Since it's been a strong week for Simply Good Foods shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

During the last half decade, Simply Good Foods became profitable. That's generally thought to be a genuine positive, so investors may expect to see an increasing share price. Given that the company made a profit three years ago, but not five years ago, it is worth looking at the share price returns over the last three years, too. In fact, the Simply Good Foods stock price is 14% lower in the last three years. Meanwhile, EPS is up 48% per year. So there seems to be a mismatch between the positive EPS growth and the change in the share price, which is down -5% per year.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

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NasdaqCM:SMPL Earnings Per Share Growth November 6th 2024

It is of course excellent to see how Simply Good Foods has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. This free interactive report on Simply Good Foods' balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

A Different Perspective

While the broader market gained around 34% in the last year, Simply Good Foods shareholders lost 8.4%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 7%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. Before spending more time on Simply Good Foods it might be wise to click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling shares.

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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