Vimeo, Inc. (NASDAQ:VMEO) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 41% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 96%.
Following the firm bounce in price, Vimeo may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 34.6x, since almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios under 18x and even P/E's lower than 10x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
Recent times have been advantageous for Vimeo as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Vimeo.
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
Vimeo's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 302% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, EPS has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 7.3% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 11% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's alarming that Vimeo's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Vimeo's P/E
Shares in Vimeo have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Vimeo's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Vimeo has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Vimeo's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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