Here's Why We Think Salesforce (NYSE:CRM) Is Well Worth Watching
Here's Why We Think Salesforce (NYSE:CRM) Is Well Worth Watching
The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even companies that have no revenue, no profit, and a record of falling short, can manage to find investors. But the reality is that when a company loses money each year, for long enough, its investors will usually take their share of those losses. Loss making companies can act like a sponge for capital - so investors should be cautious that they're not throwing good money after bad.
對於一些投機者來說,投資一家可能逆轉其命運的公司的興奮情緒是一個巨大的吸引力,因此即使是沒有營業收入、沒有利潤並且一直表現不佳的公司也可以找到投資者。但現實情況是,當一家公司每年虧損足夠長時間時,投資者通常會承擔這些損失的一部分。虧損的公司可以像資本海綿一樣吸收資金,因此投資者應該謹慎,不要把好錢投向壞錢後面。
Despite being in the age of tech-stock blue-sky investing, many investors still adopt a more traditional strategy; buying shares in profitable companies like Salesforce (NYSE:CRM). Now this is not to say that the company presents the best investment opportunity around, but profitability is a key component to success in business.
儘管處於科技股藍天投資時代,許多投資者仍然採用更傳統的策略;在像賽富時(紐交所:CRM)這樣的盈利公司買股票。現在這並不是說該公司提供了最好的投資機會,但盈利能力是業務成功的關鍵組成部分。
How Quickly Is Salesforce Increasing Earnings Per Share?
賽富時每股收益增長速度有多快?
The market is a voting machine in the short term, but a weighing machine in the long term, so you'd expect share price to follow earnings per share (EPS) outcomes eventually. Therefore, there are plenty of investors who like to buy shares in companies that are growing EPS. Shareholders will be happy to know that Salesforce's EPS has grown 32% each year, compound, over three years. This has no doubt fuelled the optimism that sees the stock trading on a high multiple of earnings.
市場短期內是一個投票機,但長期內是一個稱重機,因此你會預期股價最終會跟隨每股收益(EPS)的結果。因此,有很多投資者喜歡買入增長每股收益的公司的股票。股東會樂見賽富時的每股收益在過去三年中以每年32%的複合增長。毫無疑問,這助長了對該股高估的樂觀情緒。
Careful consideration of revenue growth and earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margins can help inform a view on the sustainability of the recent profit growth. The music to the ears of Salesforce shareholders is that EBIT margins have grown from 13% to 19% in the last 12 months and revenues are on an upwards trend as well. Ticking those two boxes is a good sign of growth, in our book.
仔細考慮營業收入增長和利息、稅項前收益(EBIT)利潤率,有助於對最近利潤增長的可持續性形成看法。賽富時股東應該聽到的好消息是,過去12個月EBIT利潤率已從13%增長至19%,營業收入也呈上升趨勢。這兩個方面都滿足了我們預期的增長標準。
The chart below shows how the company's bottom and top lines have progressed over time. For finer detail, click on the image.
下圖顯示了該公司底線和頂線隨着時間的推移而發展的情況。點擊圖片以獲取更精細的詳細信息。
Fortunately, we've got access to analyst forecasts of Salesforce's future profits. You can do your own forecasts without looking, or you can take a peek at what the professionals are predicting.
幸運的是,我們可以訪問賽富時未來利潤的分析師預測。您可以進行自己的預測,也可以看看專業人士的預測。
Are Salesforce Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?
Salesforce內部人的動向是否與所有股東一致?
Since Salesforce has a market capitalisation of US$282b, we wouldn't expect insiders to hold a large percentage of shares. But thanks to their investment in the company, it's pleasing to see that there are still incentives to align their actions with the shareholders. Indeed, they have a considerable amount of wealth invested in it, currently valued at US$7.6b. Investors will appreciate management having this amount of skin in the game as it shows their commitment to the company's future.
由於賽富時市值爲2820億美元,我們不會指望內部人士持有大量股份。但由於他們對公司的投資,令人高興的是看到他們仍有激勵來與股東保持一致。事實上,他們在公司中投入了相當大量財富,目前估值爲76億美元。投資者會欣賞管理層持有如此數額的股份,因爲這顯示了他們對公司未來的承諾。
Does Salesforce Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?
賽富時是否值得加入您的自選股?
If you believe that share price follows earnings per share you should definitely be delving further into Salesforce's strong EPS growth. With EPS growth rates like that, it's hardly surprising to see company higher-ups place confidence in the company through continuing to hold a significant investment. On the balance of its merits, solid EPS growth and company insiders who are aligned with the shareholders would indicate a business that is worthy of further research. One of Buffett's considerations when discussing businesses is if they are capital light or capital intensive. Generally, a company with a high return on equity is capital light, and can thus fund growth more easily. So you might want to check this graph comparing Salesforce's ROE with industry peers (and the market at large).
如果您相信股價跟隨每股收益,您應該進一步深入研究賽富時強勁的每股收益增長。有着這樣的每股收益增長率,看到公司的上層管理者繼續持有大額投資並不奇怪。從其優點來看,穩健的每股收益增長和與股東保持一致的公司內部人士將表明這是一個值得進一步研究的企業。巴菲特在討論企業時考慮的因素之一是它們是資本輕還是資本密集型。一般來說,具有高股東權益回報率的公司是資本輕型的,因此更容易爲增長提供資金。因此,您可能希望查看此圖表,將賽富時的roe與行業同行(以及整個市場)進行比較。
While opting for stocks without growing earnings and absent insider buying can yield results, for investors valuing these key metrics, here is a carefully selected list of companies in the US with promising growth potential and insider confidence.
儘管不增長收益且沒有內部人士購買的股票可能會有回報,但對於重視這些關鍵指標的投資者來說,以下是在美國具有潛在增長和內部人士信心的經過慎重篩選的公司列表。
Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.
請注意,本文討論的內部交易是指在相關司法管轄區中報告的交易。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。