Investing in Howmet Aerospace (NYSE:HWM) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 347% Gain
Investing in Howmet Aerospace (NYSE:HWM) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 347% Gain
When you buy a stock there is always a possibility that it could drop 100%. But on the bright side, if you buy shares in a high quality company at the right price, you can gain well over 100%. Long term Howmet Aerospace Inc. (NYSE:HWM) shareholders would be well aware of this, since the stock is up 239% in five years. It's also good to see the share price up 12% over the last quarter. But this move may well have been assisted by the reasonably buoyant market (up 10% in 90 days).
當您購買股票時,總會有可能虧損100%。但是從好的方面來看,如果您以合適的價格購買高質量公司的股票,您可以獲得遠遠超過100%的收益。長揸美國米其鋁業股份有限公司(NYSE:HWM)的股東對此應該心知肚明,因爲該股票在五年內上漲了239%。看到股價在上個季度上漲了12%也是一件好事。但這一舉動很可能是受到了相當樂觀的市場(90天漲幅爲10%)的助力。
So let's assess the underlying fundamentals over the last 5 years and see if they've moved in lock-step with shareholder returns.
因此,讓我們評估過去5年的基本面,看看它們是否和股東的回報率相符。
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
儘管一些人繼續教授有效市場假說,但已經證明市場是過度反應的動態系統,並且投資者並不總是理性的。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股價的變化情況,我們可以了解投資者對公司的態度如何隨着時間變化而變化。
Over half a decade, Howmet Aerospace managed to grow its earnings per share at 27% a year. This EPS growth is remarkably close to the 28% average annual increase in the share price. This indicates that investor sentiment towards the company has not changed a great deal. In fact, the share price seems to largely reflect the EPS growth.
在半個多世紀的時間裏,美國米其鋁業成功地將每股收益增長率維持在27%。這種每股收益增長率與股價平均年增長率的28%非常接近。這表明投資者對該公司的情緒沒有發生太大變化。實際上,股價似乎在很大程度上反映了每股收益的增長。
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
該公司的每股收益(隨時間的推移)如下圖所示(單擊可查看確切數字)。
We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Howmet Aerospace's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
我們很高興地報告,CEO的報酬比大多數同等資本化公司的CEO要適度。關注CEO的薪酬總是值得的,但更重要的問題是公司是否將在未來年份增長收益。查看Howmet Aerospace的收益、營業收入和現金流的免費報告可能會很值得一看。
What About Dividends?
那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Howmet Aerospace's TSR for the last 5 years was 347%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
對於任何給定的股票,考慮總股東回報以及股價回報是很重要的。 TSR包含了任何分拆或折價增資的價值,以及基於假設股息被再投資的股息。因此對於支付豐厚股息的公司,TSR往往比股價回報高得多。事實上,過去5年中,howmet aerospace的TSR達到了347%,超過了之前提到的股價回報。這在很大程度上是其分紅派息的結果!
A Different Perspective
不同的觀點
It's nice to see that Howmet Aerospace shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 106% over the last year. That's including the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 35% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Howmet Aerospace you should be aware of.
看到howmet aerospace股東在過去一年中獲得了106%的總股東回報真是令人高興。包括股息在內。這比半個世紀以來的35%的年化回報要好,這意味着公司最近的表現更好。鑑於股價勢頭仍然強勁,值得更仔細地觀察這股票,以免錯失機會。雖然考慮市場條件對股價的影響是很值得的,但有其他更重要的因素。譬如:我們發現了有2個howmet aerospace的警示信號,你應該注意。
But note: Howmet Aerospace may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
但請注意:howmet aerospace可能不是最佳的股票選擇。因此,請查看這份免費的感興趣企業名單,這些公司過去有盈利增長(並有進一步增長預測)。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文所引述的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。