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Here's Why FMC (NYSE:FMC) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Here's Why FMC (NYSE:FMC) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

爲什麼紐交所FMC (NYSE:FMC) 承擔了一筆重要的債務負擔
Simply Wall St ·  11/04 22:30

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies FMC Corporation (NYSE:FMC) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

當豪華樓 parents 看跌得很好走了,他認爲,與其擔心股價的波動性,'永久性損失的可能性是我擔心的風險...我認識的每個實際投資者都擔心。當您考慮一家公司的風險時,自然會考慮其資產負債表,因爲往往在一家企業倒閉時涉及債務。與許多其他公司一樣,FMC公司(紐交所:FMC)利用債務。但股東應該擔心它使用債務嗎?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

一般來說,只有當企業無法輕易籌集資金或依靠自有現金流償還債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。最壞的情況是,如果企業無法償還債權人,它可能會破產。然而,更頻繁但仍然成本高昂的情況是,一家公司必須以低於市場價格的價格發行股票,從而永久性地稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。當然,許多公司使用債務資助增長,沒有任何負面後果。在考慮一個企業使用多少債務資本時,要做的第一件事是將其現金和債務一起考慮。

What Is FMC's Net Debt?

FMC的淨債務是多少?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that FMC had US$4.07b in debt in September 2024; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has US$416.7m in cash leading to net debt of about US$3.65b.

下面的圖表顯示,FMC在2024年9月有40.7億美元的債務;與前一年相當。相反,它有41670萬美元的現金,導致淨債務約爲36.5億美元。

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NYSE:FMC Debt to Equity History November 4th 2024
紐交所:FMC債務到權益歷史記錄2024年11月4日

How Healthy Is FMC's Balance Sheet?

FMC的資產負債表健康情況如何?

According to the last reported balance sheet, FMC had liabilities of US$3.59b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$4.00b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$416.7m and US$2.89b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$4.28b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

根據最近報告的資產負債表顯示,FMC有35.9億美元的短期債務,以及40億美元以上的長期債務。另一方面,它有41670萬美元的現金和28.9億美元的應收賬款,均在一年內到期。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收款項合計多42.8億美元。

FMC has a market capitalization of US$7.88b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

FMC的市值爲78.8億美元,因此如果有需要,它很可能會籌集資金來改善其資產負債表。但我們絕對希望保持警惕,以防其債務帶來過多風險。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

通過查看公司的淨債務與利息、稅、折舊、攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)之比以及它的利息費用(利息覆蓋率)可以衡量一個公司的債務負擔與收益能力。因此,我們考慮將債務與有無計算折舊和攤銷費用的收益相對比。

Weak interest cover of 2.2 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.2 hit our confidence in FMC like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Worse, FMC's EBIT was down 46% over the last year. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine FMC's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

2.2倍的低利息覆蓋率,以及5.2倍的淨債務對息稅前利潤(EBITDA)比率兩項數據再次打擊了我們對FMC的信心,就像連續兩次被打到肚子一樣。這意味着我們認爲它負債累累。更糟糕的是,過去一年,FMC的息稅前利潤下降了46%。如果收入繼續這樣下滑,償還如此龐大債務將比說服我們在雨中馬拉松更難。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是起點。但未來的盈利,遠比其他任何因素,將決定FMC未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果您想知道專業人士的看法,請查看分析師盈利預測的免費報告。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, FMC recorded free cash flow of 27% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

最後,一家公司只能用冰冷的現金償還債務,而不是會計利潤。因此,了解EBIt有多少得到自由現金流支持是值得的。查看最近三年的數據顯示,FMC的自由現金流佔EBIt的比例爲27%,低於我們的預期。這種較弱的現金轉換使其更難處理負債。

Our View

我們的觀點

To be frank both FMC's net debt to EBITDA and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least its level of total liabilities is not so bad. Overall, it seems to us that FMC's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that FMC is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those are a bit unpleasant...

坦率地說,FMC的淨債務與EBITDA比率以及其EBIT增長記錄令我們對其債務水平感到相當不安。但至少其總負債水平並不那麼糟糕。總的來說,對於FMC的資產負債表風險我們感到了真的很擔憂。因此,我們幾乎和一個下落入主人魚池中的餓貓一樣謹慎:一朝被蛇咬,十年怕井繩。明顯地,資產負債表是分析債務時需要着重關注的領域。然而,並非所有投資風險都存在於資產負債表中 - 遠非如此。請注意,根據我們的投資分析,FMC顯示出3個警示信號,並且其中2個有點令人不快...。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

歸根結底,專注於沒有淨債務的公司往往更好。您可以訪問我們的特別列表,其中包括所有表現出盈利增長軌跡的公司。這是免費的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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