$61,000 Is Bitcoin' Line In The Sand For ETF Demand To Remain Steady, Says Analyst
$61,000 Is Bitcoin' Line In The Sand For ETF Demand To Remain Steady, Says Analyst
CryptoQuant founder and CEO Ki Young Ju, on Monday highlighted that demand for Bitcoin spot ETFs has been robust, with significant net inflows at price levels above $61,000.
CryptoQuant創始人兼首席執行官Ki Young Ju週一強調,比特幣現貨etf需求強勁,價格水平高於61000美元時有顯著淨流入。
What Happened: According to Young Ju, the sustainability of this trend hinges on Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) maintaining its price above this key threshold.
事件經過:根據Young Ju的說法,這一趨勢的持續性取決於比特幣(加密:BTC)保持在這一關鍵閾值以上的價格。
"As long as the BTC price holds above $61,000, ETF demand should remain steady, in my opinion," he stated in a post on X on Monday.
「只要比特幣價格保持在61000美元以上,我認爲etf需求應會保持穩定,」他在週一的一篇帖子中表示。
QCP Capital provided additional context on the market's current state, emphasizing caution amid political uncertainty, stating that vice president Kamala Harris and former president Donald Trump are locked in a tight race as odds on Polymarket have moved closer to actual poll estimates.
QCP Capital就市場當前狀態提供了額外背景,強調在政治不確定性中保持謹慎,指出副總統卡馬拉·賀錦麗和前總統特朗普在一場激烈的競選中陷入僵局,Polymarket的賠率已逐漸接近真實的民意調查估計。
While Polymarket odds currently favor Trump at 55%, this is a significant decline from 66% a week prior, reflecting a more balanced electoral outlook.
雖然Polymarket目前看好特朗普贏得55%的幾率,但這相對於一週前的66%是一個顯著的下降,反映了更加平衡的選舉前景。
This uncertainty has kept leveraged perpetual positioning in check, with figures dropping from $30 billion to $26 billion across exchanges, signaling cautious sentiment.
這種不確定性使得槓桿永續倉位保持在謹慎情緒中,各交易所的金額從300億美元降至260億美元,表明謹慎的情緒。
Also Read: Bitcoin Could Hit $90,000 If Trump Wins, Hold $50,000 Floor Under Harris: Bernstein
另請參閱:如果特朗普獲勝,比特幣可能會達到90000美元,在賀錦麗之下保持50000美元的地板:伯恩斯坦
QCP Capital further remarked on the sideways price action over the weekend, suggesting a potential build-up before a major move: "So, is this the calm before a break from the multi-month range and push toward all-time highs? The options market definitely thinks so, as we've seen an increase in topside positioning with substantial buying of end-Nov $75,000 Calls since last Friday."
QCP Capital進一步指出,週末的橫盤價格波動可能預示着一次重大動向之前的積累:「那麼,這是多月區間突破並向歷史新高推進之前的平靜嗎?期權市場絕對認爲如此,因爲自上週五以來,我們看到了對11月底7.5萬美元看漲期權的大量買盤。」
The report highlighted that election-date options positions have been rising, with implied volatility above 87%, even as realized volatility sits at 40%.
報告強調,選舉日期的期權頭寸一直在上升,引伸波幅超過87%,儘管實現波動率僅爲40%。
Meanwhile, the surge in spot ETF inflows comes as major financial institutions ramp up their involvement in the Bitcoin market.
與此同時,現貨ETF流入量激增,主要金融機構加大了在比特幣市場中的參與。
"BlackRock's (NASDAQ:IBIT) recorded the highest weekly netflows since March 2024, with $2.11 billion flowing into the Bitcoin market," Young Ju said.
「貝萊德(納斯達克:IBIT)自2024年3月以來錄得最高的每週淨流入,總額達21.1億美元流入比特幣市場,」 Young Ju表示。
Fidelity's (BATS:FBTC) also reported strong inflows, particularly when Bitcoin's price touched the $73,000 level, demonstrating growing interest from institutional investors.
富達(BATS:FBTC)也報告了強勁的流入,特別是當比特幣價格觸及7.3萬美元水平時,表明機構投資者越來越感興趣。
What's Next: The potential implications of this sustained demand will be a focal topic at Benzinga's Future of Digital Assets event on Nov. 19.
接下來會發生什麼:這種持續需求的潛在影響將是Benzinga數字資產未來活動(11月19日)的焦點話題。
The event will host industry leaders who will analyze the effect of ETF inflows on the crypto market and discuss broader trends in digital asset investment.
該活動將邀請行業領導者分析ETF流入對加密市場的影響,並討論數字資產投資中的更廣泛趨勢。
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Image: Shutterstock
圖片:shutterstock
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。