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$61,000 Is Bitcoin' Line In The Sand For ETF Demand To Remain Steady, Says Analyst

$61,000 Is Bitcoin' Line In The Sand For ETF Demand To Remain Steady, Says Analyst

$61,000是比特幣的底線,分析師表示,要保持ETF需求穩定。
Benzinga ·  11/04 22:29

CryptoQuant founder and CEO Ki Young Ju, on Monday highlighted that demand for Bitcoin spot ETFs has been robust, with significant net inflows at price levels above $61,000.

CryptoQuant創始人兼首席執行官Ki Young Ju週一強調,比特幣現貨etf需求強勁,價格水平高於61000美元時有顯著淨流入。

What Happened: According to Young Ju, the sustainability of this trend hinges on Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) maintaining its price above this key threshold.

事件經過:根據Young Ju的說法,這一趨勢的持續性取決於比特幣(加密:BTC)保持在這一關鍵閾值以上的價格。

"As long as the BTC price holds above $61,000, ETF demand should remain steady, in my opinion," he stated in a post on X on Monday.

「只要比特幣價格保持在61000美元以上,我認爲etf需求應會保持穩定,」他在週一的一篇帖子中表示。

QCP Capital provided additional context on the market's current state, emphasizing caution amid political uncertainty, stating that vice president Kamala Harris and former president Donald Trump are locked in a tight race as odds on Polymarket have moved closer to actual poll estimates.

QCP Capital就市場當前狀態提供了額外背景,強調在政治不確定性中保持謹慎,指出副總統卡馬拉·賀錦麗和前總統特朗普在一場激烈的競選中陷入僵局,Polymarket的賠率已逐漸接近真實的民意調查估計。

While Polymarket odds currently favor Trump at 55%, this is a significant decline from 66% a week prior, reflecting a more balanced electoral outlook.

雖然Polymarket目前看好特朗普贏得55%的幾率,但這相對於一週前的66%是一個顯著的下降,反映了更加平衡的選舉前景。

This uncertainty has kept leveraged perpetual positioning in check, with figures dropping from $30 billion to $26 billion across exchanges, signaling cautious sentiment.

這種不確定性使得槓桿永續倉位保持在謹慎情緒中,各交易所的金額從300億美元降至260億美元,表明謹慎的情緒。

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Also Read: Bitcoin Could Hit $90,000 If Trump Wins, Hold $50,000 Floor Under Harris: Bernstein

另請參閱:如果特朗普獲勝,比特幣可能會達到90000美元,在賀錦麗之下保持50000美元的地板:伯恩斯坦

QCP Capital further remarked on the sideways price action over the weekend, suggesting a potential build-up before a major move: "So, is this the calm before a break from the multi-month range and push toward all-time highs? The options market definitely thinks so, as we've seen an increase in topside positioning with substantial buying of end-Nov $75,000 Calls since last Friday."

QCP Capital進一步指出,週末的橫盤價格波動可能預示着一次重大動向之前的積累:「那麼,這是多月區間突破並向歷史新高推進之前的平靜嗎?期權市場絕對認爲如此,因爲自上週五以來,我們看到了對11月底7.5萬美元看漲期權的大量買盤。」

The report highlighted that election-date options positions have been rising, with implied volatility above 87%, even as realized volatility sits at 40%.

報告強調,選舉日期的期權頭寸一直在上升,引伸波幅超過87%,儘管實現波動率僅爲40%。

Meanwhile, the surge in spot ETF inflows comes as major financial institutions ramp up their involvement in the Bitcoin market.

與此同時,現貨ETF流入量激增,主要金融機構加大了在比特幣市場中的參與。

"BlackRock's (NASDAQ:IBIT) recorded the highest weekly netflows since March 2024, with $2.11 billion flowing into the Bitcoin market," Young Ju said.

「貝萊德(納斯達克:IBIT)自2024年3月以來錄得最高的每週淨流入,總額達21.1億美元流入比特幣市場,」 Young Ju表示。

Fidelity's (BATS:FBTC) also reported strong inflows, particularly when Bitcoin's price touched the $73,000 level, demonstrating growing interest from institutional investors.

富達(BATS:FBTC)也報告了強勁的流入,特別是當比特幣價格觸及7.3萬美元水平時,表明機構投資者越來越感興趣。

What's Next: The potential implications of this sustained demand will be a focal topic at Benzinga's Future of Digital Assets event on Nov. 19.

接下來會發生什麼:這種持續需求的潛在影響將是Benzinga數字資產未來活動(11月19日)的焦點話題。

The event will host industry leaders who will analyze the effect of ETF inflows on the crypto market and discuss broader trends in digital asset investment.

該活動將邀請行業領導者分析ETF流入對加密市場的影響,並討論數字資產投資中的更廣泛趨勢。

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Image: Shutterstock

圖片:shutterstock

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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