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Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About Coterra Energy Inc. (NYSE:CTRA)?

Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About Coterra Energy Inc. (NYSE:CTRA)?

股票下跌而財務狀況良好:市場對Coterra 能源 公司(紐交所:CTRA)的判斷錯誤嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  11/04 19:17

Coterra Energy (NYSE:CTRA) has had a rough month with its share price down 8.7%. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. In this article, we decided to focus on Coterra Energy's ROE.

Coterra Energy (紐交所:CTRA)的股價下跌了8.7%,經歷了一個艱難的月份。然而,股價通常長期受到公司財務狀況的驅動,在這種情況下,看起來相當可觀。在本文中,我們決定聚焦於Coterra Energy的roe。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

股東要考慮的關鍵因素之一是淨資產收益率或roe,因爲它告訴他們公司如何有效地重新投資他們的資本。簡單點說,它衡量了公司與股東權益相關的盈利能力。

How Is ROE Calculated?

淨資產收益率怎麼計算?

The formula for ROE is:

roe的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(從持續經營中獲得)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Coterra Energy is:

因此,根據上述公式,Coterra Energy的roe爲:

9.5% = US$1.2b ÷ US$13b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

9.5% = 12億美元 ÷ 130億美元(截至2024年9月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. That means that for every $1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated $0.10 in profit.

「回報」是指公司過去一年的收益。這意味着對於每1美元的股東權益,公司產生了0.10美元的利潤。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

ROE與盈利增長之間的關係是什麼?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到roe是公司盈利能力的一種衡量標準。根據公司選擇重新投資或「留存」的利潤比例,我們能夠評估公司未來產生利潤的能力。其他條件不變的情況下,roe和盈利留存越高,相較於不具備這些特徵的公司,企業的增長率越高。

A Side By Side comparison of Coterra Energy's Earnings Growth And 9.5% ROE

Coterra Energy的盈利增長和9.5%的roe的橫向比較

At first glance, Coterra Energy's ROE doesn't look very promising. A quick further study shows that the company's ROE doesn't compare favorably to the industry average of 16% either. However, we we're pleasantly surprised to see that Coterra Energy grew its net income at a significant rate of 30% in the last five years. So, there might be other aspects that are positively influencing the company's earnings growth. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

乍一看,Coterra Energy的roe看起來並不樂觀。快速進一步研究發現,該公司的roe與行業平均水平16%也沒有令人滿意。然而,我們驚喜地發現Coterra Energy在過去五年中淨利潤以30%的速度增長。因此,可能存在其他積極影響公司盈利增長的因素。例如,公司的股息支付比率較低或者被有效管理。

We then compared Coterra Energy's net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 39% in the same 5-year period, which is a bit concerning.

然後,我們將Coterra Energy的淨利潤增長與行業進行了比較,發現該公司的增長數據低於同一5年期間平均39%的行業增長率,這有點令人擔憂。

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NYSE:CTRA Past Earnings Growth November 4th 2024
紐交所:CTRA 過去盈利增長 2024年11月4日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. If you're wondering about Coterra Energy's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

盈利增長是股票估值的一個重要因素。對於投資者來說,了解市場是否已經對公司預期的盈利增長(或下降)進行了定價是很重要的。這將幫助他們判斷股票的未來是看漲還是看跌。如果你想了解Coterra Energy的估值情況,請查看其市盈率與行業相比的表現。

Is Coterra Energy Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Coterra Energy是否有效利用其利潤?

The three-year median payout ratio for Coterra Energy is 48%, which is moderately low. The company is retaining the remaining 52%. So it seems that Coterra Energy is reinvesting efficiently in a way that it sees impressive growth in its earnings (discussed above) and pays a dividend that's well covered.

Coterra Energy的三年中位數股利支付比率爲48%,屬於中等偏低水平。公司保留了其餘的52%。因此,看起來Coterra Energy正在有效地進行再投資,以實現其盈利的顯著增長(如上文所述),並支付得到充分覆蓋的股息。

Moreover, Coterra Energy is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to drop to 28% over the next three years. As a result, the expected drop in Coterra Energy's payout ratio explains the anticipated rise in the company's future ROE to 13%, over the same period.

此外,Coterra Energy有分享利潤給股東的決心,這可以從其至少連續十年支付股息的長期歷史中推斷出。我們最新的分析師數據顯示,該公司未來的股利支付比率預計在未來三年內將降至28%。因此,Coterra Energy預期的股利支付比率下降解釋了同一時期公司未來ROE的預期上升至13%。

Summary

總的來說,我們對偉明環保的表現非常滿意。具體而言,我們喜歡公司以高回報率再投資了其利潤的很大一部分。當然,這導致公司的收益大幅增長。但是,最新的行業分析師預測表明,該公司的收益預計將加速增長。

Overall, we feel that Coterra Energy certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Namely, its respectable earnings growth, which it achieved due to it retaining most of its profits. However, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

總的來說,我們認爲Coterra Energy確實有一些要考慮的積極因素。尤其是其可觀的盈利增長,這得益於其保留了大部分利潤。然而,考慮到較低的roe,投資者可能並沒有從所有的再投資中受益。說到這一點,最新的行業分析師預測顯示公司的盈利增長預計將放緩。這些分析師的預期是基於對整個行業的普遍預期,還是基於公司的基本面?點擊這裏查看我們的分析師預測頁面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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