On Nov 02, major Wall Street analysts update their ratings for $Estee Lauder (EL.US)$, with price targets ranging from $70 to $107.
Morgan Stanley analyst Dara Mohsenian maintains with a hold rating, and adjusts the target price from $100 to $85.
Goldman Sachs analyst Bonnie Herzog maintains with a hold rating, and adjusts the target price from $115 to $75.
J.P. Morgan analyst Andrea Faria Teixeira downgrades to a hold rating, and adjusts the target price from $113 to $74.
BofA Securities analyst Bryan Spillane maintains with a hold rating, and adjusts the target price from $100 to $75.
UBS analyst Peter Grom maintains with a hold rating, and adjusts the target price from $104 to $74.
Furthermore, according to the comprehensive report, the opinions of $Estee Lauder (EL.US)$'s main analysts recently are as follows:
Estee Lauder's first quarter performance exceeded expectations, but this was overshadowed by second quarter guidance that didn't meet consensus, alongside the withdrawal of guidance for the second half and a reduction in dividends. An analyst notes that visibility is currently quite limited, and there is anticipation of potential changes in strategy and additional plans to improve productivity with the arrival of new leadership. It is believed that an expanded restructuring plan should be implemented to address the company's significant cost structure.
The expectation for Estee Lauder's dividend commitment to remain near a 40% payout ratio suggests a net income projection of $1.2 billion, or an earnings potential of $3.50 per share over time. The analyst believes it may be too soon to capitalize on the stock's recent decline, given the ongoing deceleration in China and the upcoming transition to a new CEO in January.
Estee Lauder has been experiencing ongoing sales declines and a lack of foreseeable clarity, prompting management to retract their financial guidance. The absence of clear direction is anticipated to persist for the upcoming quarter. Challenges stemming from diminished volumes in China and Asia's travel retail sector have led to operational leverage issues, suggesting a postponement in the execution of the company's strategy and potential returns. It is advisable for investors to look for more positive indicators of demand recovery before proceeding.
Despite previously set low expectations, Estee Lauder's fiscal first-quarter results and updated guidance fell short of forecasts, marked by the withdrawal of fiscal 2025 guidance, a second-quarter outlook that failed to meet expectations, and a reduced dividend. The stock is anticipated to experience a notable decline and may approach historical low points. The deteriorating trends in China and the absence of clear strategic direction from the soon-to-be CEO, Stephane de la Faverie, contribute to the uncertainty surrounding Estee Lauder's sales and earnings prospects.
Estee Lauder's recent earnings announcement was unexpectedly weak. Although Q1 results were roughly in line with expectations, management's Q2 forecast, withdrawal of guidance, and reduced dividend were seen as letdowns. Despite these challenges, it's believed that the stock's current valuation has significantly deviated from what's considered its fair value.
Here are the latest investment ratings and price targets for $Estee Lauder (EL.US)$ from 12 analysts:
Note:
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美東時間11月2日，多家華爾街大行更新了$雅詩蘭黛 (EL.US)$的評級，目標價介於70美元至107美元。
摩根士丹利分析師Dara Mohsenian維持持有評級，並將目標價從100美元下調至85美元。
高盛集團分析師Bonnie Herzog維持持有評級，並將目標價從115美元下調至75美元。
摩根大通分析師Andrea Faria Teixeira下調至持有評級，並將目標價從113美元下調至74美元。
美銀證券分析師Bryan Spillane維持持有評級，並將目標價從100美元下調至75美元。
瑞士銀行分析師Peter Grom維持持有評級，並將目標價從104美元下調至74美元。
此外，綜合報道，$雅詩蘭黛 (EL.US)$近期主要分析師觀點如下：
雅詩蘭黛的第一季表現超出預期，但被第二季度業績指引未達共識、下半年業績指引撤回以及分紅派息減少所掩蓋。一位分析師指出，目前能見度相當有限，預計隨着新領導層的到任，策略可能會發生變化，並計劃進一步提高生產力。人們認爲應實施擴大的重組計劃，以解決公司龐大的成本結構。
對於雅詩蘭黛分紅承諾保持在40%左右的預期表明預計淨利潤爲12億美元，或隨着時間推移每股盈利潛力爲3.50美元。分析師認爲，在中國持續放緩以及即將在一月更換新CEO的背景下，現在可能爲時過早從該股最近的下跌中獲取利益。
雅詩蘭黛一直經歷持續的銷售下滑和缺乏可預見性，促使管理層撤回其財務指引。缺乏明確方向預計將持續影響未來一個季度。由於中國和亞洲旅行零售業務量減少導致運營槓桿問題，暗示公司策略執行和潛在回報可能推遲。建議投資者在繼續前進之前尋找更多需求復甦的積極因子。
儘管先前設定了較低的預期，雅詩蘭黛的財政第一季度業績及更新的指引均未達預期，表現爲撤回2025財年指引、未達預期的第二季度展望以及降低的分紅派息。預計該股將經歷明顯下滑，可能接近歷史低點。中國的惡化趨勢和即將上任的CEO Stephane de la Faverie 出現的明確戰略方向缺失，對雅詩蘭黛的銷售和盈利前景帶來不確定性。
雅詩蘭黛最近的盈利公告出乎意料地疲弱。儘管Q1的業績大致符合預期，但管理層的Q2預測、撤回指引以及降低的分紅派息被視爲令人失望。儘管面臨這些挑戰，人們認爲該股票當前的估值已經顯著偏離了被認爲是公平價值的水平。
以下爲今日12位分析師對$雅詩蘭黛 (EL.US)$的最新投資評級及目標價：
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