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Qianhe Condiment and Food Co., Ltd. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

Qianhe Condiment and Food Co., Ltd. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

千禾味業有限公司的收益未達到分析師的預期: 現在分析師預測如下
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/02 08:22

As you might know, Qianhe Condiment and Food Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603027) last week released its latest third-quarter, and things did not turn out so great for shareholders. It looks like quite a negative result overall, with both revenues and earnings falling well short of analyst predictions. Revenues of CN¥699m missed by 14%, and statutory earnings per share of CN¥0.098 fell short of forecasts by 24%. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Qianhe Condiment and Food after the latest results.

正如您所知,千禾味業(股票代碼:SHSE:603027)上週發佈了最新的第三季度業績,對股東來說結果並不理想。整體來看,營業收入和收益均遠遠低於分析師的預測。營業收入達到69900萬人民幣,低於預期14%,每股收益爲0.098人民幣,低於預期24%。在公佈業績後,分析師們更新了他們的盈利模型,值得注意的是,他們是否認爲公司前景發生了重大變化,還是繼續業務如常。讀者將會很高興地知道我們已經整合了最新的法定預測,以查看分析師在最新業績後是否改變了對千禾味業的看法。

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SHSE:603027 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 2nd 2024
SHSE:603027 2024年11月2日的盈利和營收增長

Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from Qianhe Condiment and Food's nine analysts is for revenues of CN¥3.67b in 2025. This reflects a decent 16% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to soar 23% to CN¥0.59. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of CN¥3.78b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.62 in 2025. The analysts are less bullish than they were before these results, given the reduced revenue forecasts and the small dip in earnings per share expectations.

考慮到最新的業績,千禾味業九位分析師的共識預測是2025年營業收入將達到36.7億人民幣。相較於過去12個月,這反映了營收的良好增長16%。預計法定每股收益將飆升23%至0.59人民幣。然而,在最新業績之前,分析師們預計2025年營業收入爲37.8億人民幣,每股收益爲0.62人民幣。由於降低的營收預期和每股收益預期的小幅下滑,分析師們比以前更謹慎看待情況。

The consensus price target fell 8.5% to CN¥13.42, with the weaker earnings outlook clearly leading valuation estimates. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Qianhe Condiment and Food at CN¥16.35 per share, while the most bearish prices it at CN¥9.10. Analysts definitely have varying views on the business, but the spread of estimates is not wide enough in our view to suggest that extreme outcomes could await Qianhe Condiment and Food shareholders.

共識價格目標下調8.5%至13.42人民幣,較弱的盈利前景顯然導致估值預測的下降。然而,這並不是我們能從數據中得出的唯一結論,因爲一些投資者在評估分析師的價格目標時也喜歡考慮估值範圍。目前,最看好的分析師認爲千禾味業每股16.35人民幣,而最看淡的價格爲每股9.10人民幣。分析師們對該業務有着不同的看法,但在我們看來,預測範圍並不足以暗示極端結果可能會等待千禾味業的股東。

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. We would highlight that Qianhe Condiment and Food's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 13% annualised growth rate until the end of 2025 being well below the historical 20% p.a. growth over the last five years. Compare this to the 161 other companies in this industry with analyst coverage, which are forecast to grow their revenue at 11% per year. So it's pretty clear that, while Qianhe Condiment and Food's revenue growth is expected to slow, it's expected to grow roughly in line with the industry.

通過比較預測數據與過去業績以及同行業其他公司的表現,可以更好地理解這些預測。我們需要強調千禾味業預計營收增長速度將放緩,預計到2025年底的年增長率爲13%,遠低於過去五年的年均20%增長率。將其與該行業中另外161家有分析師覆蓋的公司進行比較,預計這些公司的營收將每年增長11%。因此,很明顯,儘管千禾味業的營收增長預計將放緩,但預計將與整個行業趨勢基本一致。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. Sadly, they also downgraded their revenue forecasts, but the business is still expected to grow at roughly the same rate as the industry itself. The consensus price target fell measurably, with the analysts seemingly not reassured by the latest results, leading to a lower estimate of Qianhe Condiment and Food's future valuation.

最重要的一點是分析師們降低了他們的每股收益預估,顯示出在這些結果後市場情緒明顯下滑。可悲的是,他們還下調了營收預測,但預計業務仍將以大致與整個行業相同的速度增長。共識價格目標大幅下降,分析師們似乎並不信服最新的結果,導致對千禾味業未來估值的更低預估。

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Qianhe Condiment and Food going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

記住,我們仍認爲業務的長期軌跡對投資者來說更爲重要。在Simply Wall St,我們對千禾味業截至2026年的全面分析師預測範圍,您可以在我們的平台上免費查看。

Plus, you should also learn about the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Qianhe Condiment and Food .

此外,您還應該了解我們發現的千禾味業的1個警示信號。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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