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Earnings Miss: Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric Co., Ltd. Missed EPS By 11% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

Earnings Miss: Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric Co., Ltd. Missed EPS By 11% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

盈利不達預期:中車時代電氣股份有限公司的每股收益低於預期11%,分析師正在調整他們的預測
Simply Wall St ·  11/02 07:12

As you might know, Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric Co., Ltd. (HKG:3898) last week released its latest quarterly, and things did not turn out so great for shareholders. Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric missed earnings this time around, with CN¥6.0b revenue coming in 7.6% below what the analysts had modelled. Statutory earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.70 also fell short of expectations by 11%. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric after the latest results.

正如您可能知道的,珠海中車時代電氣股份有限公司(HKG:3898)上週發佈了其最新季度報告,對股東來說並不樂觀。珠海中車時代電氣這一次未能達到盈利預期,營業收入爲60億人民幣,比分析師的預期低了7.6%。每股收益也低於預期11%,爲0.70人民幣。這對投資者來說是一個重要時刻,他們可以通過報告跟蹤公司的業績,查看專家們對明年的預測,並了解對業務預期是否有任何變化。讀者會很高興知道,我們已聚合了最新的財務預測,看看分析師在最新業績發佈後是否改變了對珠海中車時代電氣的看法。

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SEHK:3898 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 1st 2024
SEHK:3898 2024年11月1日收益和營業收入增長

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric from 23 analysts is for revenues of CN¥30.2b in 2025. If met, it would imply a substantial 26% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to ascend 15% to CN¥2.91. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CN¥30.3b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥2.91 in 2025. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

考慮到最新的結果,23位分析師對珠海中車時代電氣2025年的營業收入達成共識爲302億人民幣。如果達到這一水平,將意味着其營業收入在過去12個月內大幅增長26%。預計每股收入將增長15%,達到2.91人民幣。在提交此報告之前,分析師一直在預測2025年的營業收入爲303億人民幣,每股收益爲2.91人民幣。因此,儘管分析師已更新其估算,但在最新業績發佈後,並未對業務的預期產生重大變化。

There were no changes to revenue or earnings estimates or the price target of HK$37.40, suggesting that the company has met expectations in its recent result. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric at HK$46.86 per share, while the most bearish prices it at HK$28.53. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.

營業收入或盈利預期以及37.40港元的目標股價均未發生變化,表明公司在最近的業績中達到了預期。然而,我們還可以從另一個角度來看待目標股價,即查看分析師提出的股價目標區間,因爲衆多不同的估算可能意味着對業務可能結果持有不同看法。目前,最看好的分析師認爲珠海中車時代電氣每股價值46.86港元,而最看淡的目標價爲28.53港元。這些目標價顯示分析師對該業務持有一些不同的看法,但這些估值並不足以讓我們認爲有些人在押注其取得巨大成功或徹底失敗。

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. The analysts are definitely expecting Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 20% annualised growth to the end of 2025 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 9.1% per annum over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 12% annually. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric to grow faster than the wider industry.

爲了更好地了解這些預測,一種方法是將其與過去的表現以及同行業中其他公司的表現進行比較。分析師們明顯預期株洲中國中車時代電氣的增長將加速,預計到2025年底的年增長率爲20%,這一預測排名良好,與過去五年每年增長9.1%的歷史增長相比。將此與同行業其他公司相比,在預測中其營業收入每年增長12%。顯而易見的是,儘管增長前景比最近的過去更爲光明,分析師還是預計株洲中國中車時代電氣的增速將快於整個行業。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

最明顯的結論是,業務前景最近並沒有發生重大變化,分析師們保持其盈利預測不變,與以往的預期相符。令人高興的是,營收預測沒有發生重大變化,該業務仍有望比更廣泛的行業增長更快。一致的目標價格沒有發生實質性變化,這表明通過最新的預測,業務的內在價值沒有發生任何重大變化。

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

話雖如此,公司收益的長期軌跡比明年更重要。在Simply Wall St,我們對株洲中國中車時代電氣制定了截至2026年的全面分析師預測範圍,您可以免費在我們的平台上查看。

Another thing to consider is whether management and directors have been buying or selling stock recently. We provide an overview of all open market stock trades for the last twelve months on our platform, here.

另一件需要考慮的事情是管理層和董事最近是否在買賣股票。在我們的平台上,您可以查看過去12個月所有公開市場股票交易的概述。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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