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SDIC Power Holdings Co., Ltd Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions

SDIC Power Holdings Co., Ltd Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions

国投电力公司刚刚击败了分析师的预测,分析师们一直在更新他们的预测
Simply Wall St ·  11/02 06:59

As you might know, SDIC Power Holdings Co., Ltd (SHSE:600886) recently reported its quarterly numbers. Revenues CN¥17b disappointed slightly, at7.9% below what the analysts had predicted. Profits were a relative bright spot, with statutory per-share earnings of CN¥0.37 coming in 19% above what was anticipated. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

正如您所知,国投电力控股有限公司(SHSE:600886)最近公布了其季度数据。营业收入为170亿人民币,略低于预期,比分析师预测的低了7.9%。利润则是一个相对亮点,每股法定收益为0.37人民币,超出了预期的19%。分析师通常会在每份财报后更新他们的预测,我们可以根据他们的估算来判断他们对公司的看法是否发生了变化,或者是否有任何需要注意的新问题。考虑到这一点,我们已经收集了最新的法定预测数据,查看分析师对明年的预期。

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SHSE:600886 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 1st 2024
SHSE:600886 2024年11月1日盈利和营业收入增长

After the latest results, the eleven analysts covering SDIC Power Holdings are now predicting revenues of CN¥64.0b in 2025. If met, this would reflect a notable 9.2% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to ascend 16% to CN¥1.12. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CN¥64.2b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥1.15 in 2025. So it looks like there's been a small decline in overall sentiment after the recent results - there's been no major change to revenue estimates, but the analysts did make a small dip in their earnings per share forecasts.

根据最新的结果,覆盖国投电力控股的十一名分析师预测2025年的营业收入将达到640亿人民币。如果达成,这将反映出与过去12个月相比营业收入显着提高了9.2%。每股收益预计将提高16%,达到1.12人民币。在此报告之前,分析师曾模拟2025年的营业收入为642亿人民币,每股收益(EPS)为1.15人民币。因此,看起来在最近的结果公布后,整体情绪略有下降 - 营业收入预测没有发生重大变化,但分析师对每股收益的预测却有所下调。

The consensus price target held steady at CN¥17.37, with the analysts seemingly voting that their lower forecast earnings are not expected to lead to a lower stock price in the foreseeable future. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. The most optimistic SDIC Power Holdings analyst has a price target of CN¥22.10 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at CN¥9.64. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.

共识价值目标保持在17.37人民币,分析师似乎认为他们对较低的预测收益不会导致未来股价下跌。共识价值目标只是各个分析师目标的平均值,因此 - 查看潜在估算范围有多广可能会很有帮助。对国投电力控股最乐观的分析师给出每股22.10元的目标价,而最悲观者则为每股9.64元。这是一个相当广泛的估算范围,表明分析师正预测该业务可能有各种可能的结果。

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. We can infer from the latest estimates that forecasts expect a continuation of SDIC Power Holdings'historical trends, as the 7.3% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 is roughly in line with the 8.8% annual growth over the past five years. Juxtapose this against our data, which suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 6.1% per year. So although SDIC Power Holdings is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's only growing at about the rate of the wider industry.

从更大的视角来看,我们可以通过将这些预测与过去的业绩和行业增长预期进行对比来理解这些预测的方式。最新的预测数据表明,预测预计国投电力持续的历史趋势,因为到2025年底的年收入增长率为7.3%,大致与过去五年的8.8%的年增长率相当。将这一点与我们的数据进行对比,数据显示,行业中其他(受到分析师关注的)公司预计其收入每年增长6.1%。因此,尽管预计国投电力将保持其营业收入增长率,但它只是以比行业整体增长速度略低的速度增长。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析师增加了它对下一年每股亏损的估计。令人欣慰的是,营收预测未发生重大变化,业务仍有望比整个行业增长更快。共识价格目标稳定在28.50美元,最新估计不足以对价格目标产生影响。

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for SDIC Power Holdings. They also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, with the company predicted to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at CN¥17.37, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

最大的担忧是分析师调低了他们的每股收益预测,这表明国投电力可能面临业务风险。他们还重申了他们的营业收入预测,公司预计以与整个行业大致相同的速度增长。共识价值目标稳定在17.37人民币,最新的预测数据对他们的价值目标没有产生影响。

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have forecasts for SDIC Power Holdings going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

话虽如此,公司盈利的长期轨迹比明年更重要。我们对国投电力的预测延伸到2026年,您可以在我们的平台上免费查看这些预测。

Before you take the next step you should know about the 2 warning signs for SDIC Power Holdings (1 is concerning!) that we have uncovered.

在您迈出下一步之前,您应该了解我们发现的国投电力的2个警告信号(其中1个令人担忧!)。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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