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Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipment CO.,LTD. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipment CO.,LTD. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

先導智能設備有限公司剛剛錯過了盈利-但分析師已經更新了他們的模型
Simply Wall St ·  09:40

Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipment CO.,LTD. (SZSE:300450) just released its latest quarterly report and things are not looking great. Wuxi Lead Intelligent EquipmentLTD delivered a grave earnings miss, with both revenues (CN¥3.4b) and statutory earnings per share (CN¥0.095) falling badly short of analyst expectations. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

先導智能設備股份有限公司(SZSE:300450)剛剛發佈了最新的季度報告,情況看起來不太樂觀。先導智能設備有限公司利潤嚴重遜於預期,營業收入(CN¥3.4億)和每股收益(CN¥0.095)均遠低於分析師的預期。盈利是投資者重要的時刻,他們可以跟蹤公司的表現,查看分析師對明年的預測,並看看市場對公司情緒是否有變化。我們已經收集了最新的法定預測,以查看分析師是否基於這些結果修改了他們的盈利模型。

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SZSE:300450 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 1st 2024
SZSE:300450 2024年11月1日盈利和營收增長

Following the latest results, Wuxi Lead Intelligent EquipmentLTD's 13 analysts are now forecasting revenues of CN¥16.8b in 2025. This would be a huge 34% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to shoot up 3,914% to CN¥1.53. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CN¥17.8b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥1.77 in 2025. The analysts seem less optimistic after the recent results, reducing their revenue forecasts and making a real cut to earnings per share numbers.

根據最新的結果,先導智能設備有限公司的13位分析師目前預測2025年營業收入將達到CN¥168億,較過去12個月大幅增長34%。預計每股收益將激增3,914% 至CN¥1.53。在此報告發布之前,分析師一直在模擬2025年的營收爲CN¥178億和每股收益爲CN¥1.77。分析師在最近的結果後似乎不那麼樂觀,他們調低了營收預測並大幅削減了每股收益數據。

The analysts made no major changes to their price target of CN¥22.19, suggesting the downgrades are not expected to have a long-term impact on Wuxi Lead Intelligent EquipmentLTD's valuation. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. There are some variant perceptions on Wuxi Lead Intelligent EquipmentLTD, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at CN¥72.10 and the most bearish at CN¥10.00 per share. With such a wide range in price targets, analysts are almost certainly betting on widely divergent outcomes in the underlying business. As a result it might not be a great idea to make decisions based on the consensus price target, which is after all just an average of this wide range of estimates.

分析師對22.19元的目標價位未進行重大調整,表明預期的下調不會對先導智能設備有限公司的估值產生長期影響。查看分析師估值範圍也可能具有啓發性,以評估離群意見與平均值的不同程度。對於先導智能設備有限公司,存在一些不同的看法,最看好的分析師將其價值定爲72.10元,最看淡的則爲10.00元每股。由於目標價位區間較大,分析師幾乎可以肯定地在基礎業務的不同結局上打賭。因此,根據共識目標價位做決定可能不是個好主意,畢竟這只是衆多估值範圍的平均值。

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. The period to the end of 2025 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 26% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 27% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry, which analyst estimates (in aggregate) suggest will see revenues grow 16% annually. So although Wuxi Lead Intelligent EquipmentLTD is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's definitely expected to grow faster than the wider industry.

現在放眼更大的畫面,我們理解這些預測的一種方式是將其與過去的業績和行業增長預期進行比較。到2025年底,根據分析師的說法,營業收入預測將以年均26%的增長率顯示。這與過去五年年均增長27%的情況一致。將此與更廣泛的行業相比,分析師的估計(總體上)顯示,營業收入將以每年16%的速度增長。因此,儘管預計先導智能將保持其營收增長率,但其增速絕對預計要快於更廣泛的行業。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. They also downgraded Wuxi Lead Intelligent EquipmentLTD's revenue estimates, but industry data suggests that it is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

最重要的一點是,分析師下調了每股收益預期,表明在這些結果之後情緒顯著下降。他們還下調了先導智能的營業收入預測,但行業數據顯示,它預計將比更廣泛的行業增長更快。對於共識價值目標沒有實質性變化,表明業務的內在價值在最新估計中並未發生重大變化。

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Wuxi Lead Intelligent EquipmentLTD going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

繼續這一思路,我們認爲業務的長期前景比明年的收益更重要。在Simply Wall St,我們針對先導智能到2026年的一整套分析師預測,並且您可以在我們的平台上免費查看它們。

You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we've spotted 4 warning signs for Wuxi Lead Intelligent EquipmentLTD you should be aware of, and 3 of them are significant.

不過,您始終應考慮風險。舉個例子,我們發現了先導智能的4個警示信號,您應該注意,其中3個是重要的。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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