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Sinoseal Holding Co., Ltd. Just Missed EPS By 12%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Sinoseal Holding Co., Ltd. Just Missed EPS By 12%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

中密控股有限公司,每股收益僅比預期低12%:分析師認爲接下來會發生什麼
Simply Wall St ·  11/01 07:44

As you might know, Sinoseal Holding Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300470) recently reported its quarterly numbers. It was not a great result overall. Although revenues beat expectations, hitting CN¥419m, statutory earnings missed analyst forecasts by 12%, coming in at just CN¥0.47 per share. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Sinoseal Holding after the latest results.

正如您所了解的,中密控股有限公司(SZSE:300470)最近發佈了季度業績報告。總體業績並不理想。儘管營業收入超過預期,達到了人民幣41900萬,但法定收益卻比分析師預測低12%,僅爲人民幣0.47每股。報告出來後,分析師們已更新了他們的盈利模型,了解他們是否認爲公司的前景發生了強大的變化,還是一切照舊將是一件好事。讀者將會樂於知道,我們已經彙總了最新的法定預測,以查看分析師在最新業績後是否改變了對中密控股的看法。

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SZSE:300470 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 31st 2024
SZSE:300470 2024年10月31日盈利和營業收益增長

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Sinoseal Holding from four analysts is for revenues of CN¥1.73b in 2025. If met, it would imply a notable 14% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to step up 17% to CN¥2.12. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CN¥1.73b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥2.20 in 2025. The analysts seem to have become a little more negative on the business after the latest results, given the small dip in their earnings per share numbers for next year.

考慮到最新業績,來自四位分析師對中密控股在2025年的營業收入的最新共識是人民幣17.3億。如果達到這一水平,將意味着過去12個月營業收入顯著增長了14%。預測法定每股收益將提升17%,達到人民幣2.12。在這份報告公佈之前,分析師一直在預測2025年的營業收入爲人民幣17.3億,每股收益爲人民幣2.20。分析師們似乎在最新業績後對該業務變得更爲消極,考慮到他們對明年每股收益數字的小幅下滑。

The consensus price target held steady at CN¥49.59, with the analysts seemingly voting that their lower forecast earnings are not expected to lead to a lower stock price in the foreseeable future. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Sinoseal Holding at CN¥51.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at CN¥48.18. Even so, with a relatively close grouping of estimates, it looks like the analysts are quite confident in their valuations, suggesting Sinoseal Holding is an easy business to forecast or the the analysts are all using similar assumptions.

共識價格目標保持在人民幣49.59,分析師們似乎認爲他們對較低的預測收益並不會導致在可預見的未來股價下跌。查看分析師預測範圍也可能是有益的,以評估離群意見與均值有多大差異。目前,最看好的分析師認爲中密控股每股價值人民幣51.00,而最悲觀則認爲它價值人民幣48.18。即便如此,由於預測估值相對接近,分析師們對自己的估值非常有信心,這表明中密控股是一個容易預測的業務,或者分析師們都在使用類似的假設。

These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Sinoseal Holding's past performance and to peers in the same industry. The period to the end of 2025 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 11% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 12% annual growth over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 16% per year. So although Sinoseal Holding is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's forecast to grow slower than the wider industry.

這些估計很有趣,但在比較預測時,將其與中密控股的過去表現以及同行業的同行進行更廣泛的比較可能會更有用。到2025年底的時間段將繼續保持相同的走勢,根據分析師的預測,營業收入預計以年均11%的增長率顯示增長。這與其過去五年的年均12%增長率一致。 相比之下,我們的數據表明,同行業(得到分析師覆蓋)的其他公司預計每年營業收入將增長16%。因此,儘管預計中密控股將保持其營業收入增長率,但預計增速比整個行業要慢。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Sinoseal Holding. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at CN¥49.59, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

最大的擔憂在於分析師們降低了他們對每股收益的預測,這表明中密控股可能面臨業務逆風。另一方面,營收預測沒有出現重大變化;雖然預測暗示它們將表現不及整個行業。共識的價格目標保持在人民幣49.59元,最新的預測不足以對他們的價格目標產生影響。

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Sinoseal Holding. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have estimates - from multiple Sinoseal Holding analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

考慮到這一點,我們不應該過快得出關於中密控股的結論。長期盈利能力比明年的利潤更爲重要。我們從多位中密控股分析師得到的預測一直延伸到2026年,您可以在我們的平台上免費查看這些數據。

And what about risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Sinoseal Holding you should know about.

那麼風險呢?每家公司都會面臨風險,我們已經發現一條關於中密控股的警示信息,您應該了解。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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