Investors in Hershey (NYSE:HSY) Have Seen Decent Returns of 40% Over the Past Five Years
Investors in Hershey (NYSE:HSY) Have Seen Decent Returns of 40% Over the Past Five Years
It hasn't been the best quarter for The Hershey Company (NYSE:HSY) shareholders, since the share price has fallen 11% in that time. But the silver lining is the stock is up over five years. Unfortunately its return of 26% is below the market return of 104%.
好時公司(紐交所:HSY)股東在過去一個季度並不是最好的時期,因爲股價下跌了11%。但好消息是,股價在過去五年上漲了。不幸的是,其26%的回報低於市場回報的104%。
So let's assess the underlying fundamentals over the last 5 years and see if they've moved in lock-step with shareholder returns.
因此,讓我們評估過去5年的基本面,看看它們是否和股東的回報率相符。
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
禾倫·巴菲特在他的論文《格雷厄姆-道德斯維爾的超級投資者》中描述了股票價格並不總是合理地反映企業的價值。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股價隨時間變化的變化,我們可以了解到投資者對某家公司的態度如何隨時間而變化。
Over half a decade, Hershey managed to grow its earnings per share at 9.5% a year. This EPS growth is higher than the 5% average annual increase in the share price. So it seems the market isn't so enthusiastic about the stock these days.
在半個世紀的時間裏,好時設法實現每股收益以每年9.5%的速度增長。這種EPS增長高於股價每年5%的平均增長率。因此,看起來市場對這支股票並不那麼熱情。
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
下面可以看到每股收益隨時間的變化情況(通過點擊圖像來查看確切數值)。
Dive deeper into Hershey's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Hershey's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
通過查看這個互動圖表,更深入了解好時的關鍵指標,包括營業收入、收入和現金流。
What About Dividends?
那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Hershey the TSR over the last 5 years was 40%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
在觀察投資回報時,重要的是要考慮總股東回報率(TSR)和股價回報之間的差異。 股價回報僅反映股價的變化,而TSR則包括股息價值(假設它們已被再投資)以及任何折扣的資本籌集或分拆的好處。 可以說,TSR提供了股票帶來的回報更全面的圖景。 我們注意到,過去5年,好時的TSR爲40%,比上述股價回報要好。 公司支付的股息因此提振了總股東回報。
A Different Perspective
不同的觀點
While the broader market gained around 39% in the last year, Hershey shareholders lost 2.9% (even including dividends). However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 7%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Hershey that you should be aware of before investing here.
儘管整個市場在過去一年獲得了約39%的回報,好時的股東卻虧損了2.9%(即使包括股息在內)。 但是,請記住,即使是最好的股票有時也會在十二個月內表現不佳。 長期投資者不會那麼沮喪,因爲他們在過去五年中每年都賺了7%。 最近的拋售可能是一個機會,因此值得查看基本數據是否顯示出長期增長趨勢的跡象。 雖然值得考慮市場狀況會對股價產生不同的影響,但還有更重要的因素。 例如,我們發現了一個針對好時的警告標誌,您在投資之前應該注意這一點。
We will like Hershey better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.
如果我們看到一些重要的內部買入交易,我們會更喜歡好時。在等待時,請查看這份免費的未被充分評估的股票清單(主要是小市值股),其中包含最近內部人員大量買入的股票。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文所引述的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。