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Suzhou Maxwell Technologies Co., Ltd. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Suzhou Maxwell Technologies Co., Ltd. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

邁爲股份科技股份有限公司剛剛錯過了盈利 - 但分析師已經更新了模型
Simply Wall St ·  10/30 07:06

Suzhou Maxwell Technologies Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300751) just released its latest third-quarter report and things are not looking great. It looks like quite a negative result overall, with both revenues and earnings falling well short of analyst predictions. Revenues of CN¥2.9b missed by 13%, and statutory earnings per share of CN¥1.07 fell short of forecasts by 37%. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

邁爲股份(SZSE:300751)剛剛發佈了最新的第三季度報告,情況並不樂觀。整體看來,營業收入和收益均大幅低於分析師的預測。其29億元的營業收入低於預期13%,每股1.07元人民幣的盈利也比預期低了37%。收益對於投資者來說是重要的時間點,因爲他們可以追蹤公司的表現,查看分析師對下一年的預測,並查看對該公司的情緒是否發生變化。考慮到這一點,我們彙總了最新的法定預測,以了解分析師對明年的預期。

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SZSE:300751 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 29th 2024
SZSE:300751 2024年10月29日盈利和營收增長

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Suzhou Maxwell Technologies from 14 analysts is for revenues of CN¥14.8b in 2025. If met, it would imply a substantial 38% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to bounce 75% to CN¥6.03. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CN¥15.1b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥6.12 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

考慮到最新的結果,來自14名分析師的邁爲股份2025年營收共識爲148億元人民幣。如若達成,將意味着過去12個月營收大幅增長38%。預計法定每股收益將上漲75%至6.03元人民幣。在此報告之前,分析師一直在模擬2025年的營收爲151億元人民幣,每股收益爲6.12元人民幣。共識分析師似乎沒有在這些結果中看到會改變他們對企業的看法的任何事情,考慮到他們的估計沒有發生重大變化。

It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at CN¥101. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. The most optimistic Suzhou Maxwell Technologies analyst has a price target of CN¥155 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at CN¥53.00. With such a wide range in price targets, analysts are almost certainly betting on widely divergent outcomes in the underlying business. With this in mind, we wouldn't rely too heavily the consensus price target, as it is just an average and analysts clearly have some deeply divergent views on the business.

因此,毫無疑問,了解到共識價目標基本保持在101元人民幣不會讓人感到意外。共識價目標只是各個分析師目標的平均值,因此查看基礎估計範圍有多廣泛可能會有所幫助。最樂觀的邁爲股份分析師對每股的價格目標爲155元人民幣,而最悲觀者將其定爲53.00元人民幣。由於價格目標範圍很廣,分析師幾乎可以肯定是在對基礎業務的潛在結果進行廣泛的押注。考慮到這一點,我們不應過於依賴共識價目標,因爲它只是一個平均值,分析師對企業顯然有一些非常不同的看法。

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. We would highlight that Suzhou Maxwell Technologies' revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 29% annualised growth rate until the end of 2025 being well below the historical 40% p.a. growth over the last five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 23% annually. Even after the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Suzhou Maxwell Technologies is also expected to grow faster than the wider industry.

現在來看看更宏觀的圖景,我們可以通過將這些預測與過去的業績和行業增長預期進行比較來了解它們。我們要強調的是,預計蘇州邁爲股份的營業收入增長將放緩,預計到2025年底,年化增長率達29%,明顯低於過去五年中40%的年增長率。相對而言,該行業板塊中受到分析師覆蓋的其他公司預計每年將以23%的速度增長營業收入。即使在預計增長放緩之後,蘇州邁爲股份預計仍將比更廣泛的行業增長更快。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

最重要的是,分析師重申業績表現符合他們此前的每股收益預測,這一點並沒有發生重大變化。令人欣慰的是,收入預測沒有發生重大變化,預計企業仍將比整個行業增長得更快。共識價格目標沒有發生實質性變化,表明最新估值沒有發生重大變化。

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have forecasts for Suzhou Maxwell Technologies going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

繼續這種思路,我們認爲業務的長期前景比明年的收益更爲重要。我們對蘇州邁爲股份的預測延伸至2026年,您可以在我們的平台上免費查看。

You still need to take note of risks, for example - Suzhou Maxwell Technologies has 4 warning signs (and 2 which make us uncomfortable) we think you should know about.

您仍需要注意風險,例如-蘇州邁爲股份有4個警示信號(和2個讓我們感到不舒服的信號),我們認爲您應該知道。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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