East Money Information Co.,Ltd. Recorded A 75% Miss On Revenue: Analysts Are Revisiting Their Models
East Money Information Co.,Ltd. Recorded A 75% Miss On Revenue: Analysts Are Revisiting Their Models
As you might know, East Money Information Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300059) last week released its latest third-quarter, and things did not turn out so great for shareholders. Earnings came in short of expectations, with revenues of CN¥720m missing the mark by 75%, and statutory earnings per share of CN¥0.12 falling 9.5% short. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.
正如您可能知道的,東方財富信息股份有限公司(SZSE:300059)上週發佈了其最新的第三季度業績,對股東來說並不理想。收益低於預期,營業收入爲72000萬人民幣,低於預期75%,每股收益爲0.12人民幣,比預期低9.5%。分析師通常會在每份業績後更新他們的預測,我們可以從他們的估計中判斷公司的看法是否發生了變化,或者是否有任何需要注意的新問題。考慮到這一點,我們已收集了最新的法定預測,看看分析師對明年有什麼期望。
Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for East Money InformationLtd from 18 analysts is for revenues of CN¥12.8b in 2025. If met, it would imply a huge 31% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to surge 21% to CN¥0.62. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥12.0b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.58 in 2025. It looks like there's been a modest increase in sentiment following the latest results, withthe analysts becoming a bit more optimistic in their predictions for both revenues and earnings.
考慮到最新的結果,來自18位分析師的東方財富信息有限公司的最新共識是2025年營業收入爲128億人民幣。如果實現,將意味着過去12個月內其營收大幅增長31%。預計每股收益將大幅增長21%,達到0.62人民幣。在這份業績之前,分析師們曾預測2025年營業收入爲120億人民幣,每股收益爲0.58人民幣。看起來在最新結果發佈後,情緒有所增加,分析師們對營收和收益的預測變得更加樂觀。
It will come as no surprise to learn that the analysts have increased their price target for East Money InformationLtd 40% to CN¥21.48on the back of these upgrades. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. The most optimistic East Money InformationLtd analyst has a price target of CN¥30.45 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at CN¥10.20. Note the wide gap in analyst price targets? This implies to us that there is a fairly broad range of possible scenarios for the underlying business.
毫不奇怪的是,分析師們根據這些調整將東方財富信息有限公司的價格目標上調40%至21.48人民幣。然而,從這些數據我們可以得出的結論不僅如此,因爲一些投資者在評估分析師的價格目標時也喜歡考慮估計值的差異。最樂觀的東方財富信息有限公司分析師將目標價定爲每股30.45人民幣,而最悲觀者認爲其價值爲10.20人民幣。注意到分析師的價格目標之間的較大差距嗎?這對我們意味着潛在業務存在着相當廣泛的可能情景。
Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. The analysts are definitely expecting East Money InformationLtd's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 24% annualised growth to the end of 2025 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 14% per annum over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 10% annually. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that East Money InformationLtd is expected to grow much faster than its industry.
現在從更廣泛的角度來看,我們能夠解讀這些預測的一種方式是將其與過去的績效和行業增長預估進行比較。分析師明顯預計東方財富信息有限公司的增長將加速,到2025年底的預計年增長率爲24%,這與過去五年每年14%的歷史增長率相比排名較高。將其與同行業其他公司進行比較,他們預計年均營收增長10%。考慮到營收的預期加速增長,很明顯東方財富信息有限公司預計將比行業增長快得多。
The Bottom Line
最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。
The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around East Money InformationLtd's earnings potential next year. Happily, they also upgraded their revenue estimates, and are forecasting them to grow faster than the wider industry. There was also a nice increase in the price target, with the analysts clearly feeling that the intrinsic value of the business is improving.
對我們來說最重要的一點是共識每股收益的提升,這表明明年東方財富信息股份有限公司的盈利潛力有所改善。令人高興的是,他們還提高了營業收入預期,並預測增長速度將快於整個行業。價格目標也有不錯的增加,分析師明顯認爲企業的內在價值正在提高。
Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have forecasts for East Money InformationLtd going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.
記住,我們仍然認爲業務的長期發展軌跡對投資者來說更加重要。我們對東方財富信息股份有限公司的預測延伸至2026年,您可以在我們的平台上免費查看。
Don't forget that there may still be risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for East Money InformationLtd that you should be aware of.
不要忘記可能仍然存在風險。例如,我們已經發現東方財富信息股份有限公司存在一項警告信號,您應該注意。
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