Earnings Miss: Shenzhen Everwin Precision Technology Co., Ltd. Missed EPS By 27% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts
Earnings Miss: Shenzhen Everwin Precision Technology Co., Ltd. Missed EPS By 27% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts
It's been a good week for Shenzhen Everwin Precision Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300115) shareholders, because the company has just released its latest third-quarter results, and the shares gained 2.3% to CN¥15.87. Statutory earnings per share fell badly short of expectations, coming in at CN¥0.12, some 27% below analyst forecasts, although revenues were okay, approximately in line with analyst estimates at CN¥4.4b. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Shenzhen Everwin Precision Technology after the latest results.
對於深圳長盈精密技術股份有限公司(SZSE:300115)的股東來說,這是一個不錯的一週,因爲該公司剛剛發佈了最新的第三季度業績,股價上漲了2.3%,達到15.87元人民幣。法定每股收益遠遠低於預期,僅爲0.12元人民幣,比分析師預測低了27%,儘管營業收入表現尚可,大致符合分析師預期的44億元人民幣。分析師通常會在每份盈利報告後更新他們的預測,我們可以從他們的估算中判斷他們對公司的看法是否有變化,或者是否有任何需要注意的新問題。讀者們將會很高興得知,我們已經整合了最新的法定預測,以查看分析師在最新業績發佈後是否改變了他們對深圳長盈精密技術的看法。
After the latest results, the five analysts covering Shenzhen Everwin Precision Technology are now predicting revenues of CN¥19.7b in 2025. If met, this would reflect a huge 23% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to shoot up 29% to CN¥0.65. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥20.1b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.66 in 2025. The analysts seem to have become a little more negative on the business after the latest results, given the small dip in their earnings per share numbers for next year.
在最新業績發佈後,覆蓋深圳長盈精密技術的五位分析師現在預測2025年的營業收入將達到197億人民幣。 如果實現,這將反映出營收相較於過去12個月的巨大增長,達到23%。每股收益預計將增長29%,達到0.65元人民幣。在這份盈利報告發布前,分析師們此前一直預測2025年的營收爲201億人民幣,每股收益(EPS)爲0.66元人民幣。在最新業績後,分析師們對業務變得稍微消極一些,鑑於他們對明年每股收益數字的小幅下滑。
It might be a surprise to learn that the consensus price target was broadly unchanged at CN¥13.33, with the analysts clearly implying that the forecast decline in earnings is not expected to have much of an impact on valuation. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Shenzhen Everwin Precision Technology at CN¥15.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at CN¥10.00. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.
很多人會驚訝地發現,共識價值目標在13.33元人民幣基本穩定,分析師明顯暗示盈利預期下降不會對估值產生太大影響。另一種思考目標價的方法是查看分析師提出的目標價範圍,因爲廣泛的預測範圍可能暗示對業務可能結果存在多元化看法。當前,最看好的分析師認爲深圳長盈精密技術每股價值15.00元人民幣,而最看淡的則爲10.00元人民幣。這些目標價表明分析師對該業務存在一些不同看法,但估值並未相差太大,這並沒有使我們認爲有些人在押注於極大的成功或徹底的失敗。
Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. It's clear from the latest estimates that Shenzhen Everwin Precision Technology's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 18% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 13% p.a. over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 18% annually. Shenzhen Everwin Precision Technology is expected to grow at about the same rate as its industry, so it's not clear that we can draw any conclusions from its growth relative to competitors.
當然,另一種看待這些預測的方式是將它們與該行業本身相比較。從最新的估算數據可以明顯看出,長盈精密的增長速度預計將顯著加快,預計截至2025年的年化營業收入增長率爲18%,明顯快於過去五年的13%的歷史增長率。將其與同行業其他公司相比較,其他公司的營業收入預計每年增長18%。長盈精密預計將以與其行業相同的速度增長,因此我們無法得出相對於競爭對手的增長有任何結論。
The Bottom Line
最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。
The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. Happily, there were no real changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow in line with the overall industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.
最重要的是,分析師們降低了每股收益預測,顯示在這些業績公佈後,情緒明顯下滑。值得高興的是,營收預測沒有發生實質性變化,業務仍有望同行業整體增長。共識價值目標沒有實質性變化,這表明業務的內在價值沒有隨最新的預估發生重大變化。
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Shenzhen Everwin Precision Technology going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..
話雖如此,公司收益的長期軌跡比明年更重要。在Simply Wall St,我們爲長盈精密提供了截至2026年的全面分析師預測,您可以在我們的平台上免費查看。
You still need to take note of risks, for example - Shenzhen Everwin Precision Technology has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
您仍然需要注意風險,例如 - 長盈精密有3個警示標誌,我們認爲您應該注意。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。
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