These 4 Measures Indicate That Evergy (NASDAQ:EVRG) Is Using Debt In A Risky Way
These 4 Measures Indicate That Evergy (NASDAQ:EVRG) Is Using Debt In A Risky Way
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Evergy, Inc. (NASDAQ:EVRG) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
有人認爲,作爲投資者,較量風險的最佳方式是考慮波動性,而不是債務,但禾倫·巴菲特曾經說過'波動性與風險遠非同義詞。' 當我們評估一家公司的風險程度時,我們總是喜歡看看它的債務使用情況,因爲債務過重可能導致滅頂之災。重要的是,Evergy, Inc. (NASDAQ:EVRG) 確實存在債務。但這個債務對股東來說是個擔憂嗎?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
債務帶來了什麼風險?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
當企業無法輕鬆用自由現金流或以有吸引力的價格籌集資本來履行債務時,債務和其他負債就會成爲它們的風險。 在最壞的情況下,如果一家公司無法償還其債權人,它可能會破產。 然而,一個更常見(但仍然痛苦)的情況是,它必須在低價時籌集新的股權資本,從而永久稀釋股東利益。 另一方面,最普遍的情況是,一家公司合理管理其債務 - 並使其自身受益。 考慮企業使用了多少債務時,首先要做的就是查看其現金和債務總額。
What Is Evergy's Debt?
Evergy的債務是多少?
As you can see below, at the end of June 2024, Evergy had US$14.1b of debt, up from US$12.9b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.
正如您在下文所看到的,在2024年6月底,Evergy的債務達到了141億美元,比一年前的129億美元有所增加。點擊圖像查看更多詳細信息。而公司現金不多,因此淨債務大致相同。
How Healthy Is Evergy's Balance Sheet?
Evergy的資產負債表有多健康?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Evergy had liabilities of US$3.31b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$18.8b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$26.1m in cash and US$429.3m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$21.6b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
從最近的資產負債表可以看出,Evergy有330億美元的短期到期負債,以及188億美元的長期到期負債。與此相抵,它擁有2610萬美元的現金和42930萬美元的應收款項,這些款項在12個月內到期。所以它的負債總額比現金和短期應收款項的組合多216億美元。
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the US$14.0b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Evergy would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.
這裏的赤字嚴重影響了140億美元的公司本身,就好像一個孩子在揹着滿是書籍、體育器材和小號的巨大揹包掙扎一樣。所以我們確實認爲股東們需要密切關注這一點。最終,如果債權人要求償還,Evergy可能需要進行一次重大再資本化。
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
爲了對公司的債務相對於其收益進行規模適應,我們計算其淨債務與利息、稅、折舊和攤銷前收益(EBITDA)之比及其稅前收益(EBIT)與利息支出之比(利息保障倍數)。因此,我們既考慮到不包括折舊和攤銷費用在內的收益,又包括折舊和攤銷費用的收益相對於債務。
Evergy shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (5.8), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 2.4 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. Given the debt load, it's hardly ideal that Evergy's EBIT was pretty flat over the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Evergy can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Evergy股東面臨着高淨債務與EBITDA比率(5.8)和相當弱利息保障的雙重打擊,EBIT僅是利息支出的2.4倍。這裏的債務負擔相當沉重。考慮到債務負擔,Evergy過去12個月的EBIT幾乎沒有增長並不理想。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表上學到了很多關於債務的知識。但最終業務的未來盈利能力將決定Evergy是否能夠隨着時間加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你關注未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師盈利預測的免費報告。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Evergy burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
但我們最後的考慮也很重要,因爲一家公司不能用虛擬利潤償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。所以我們總是檢查EBIT中有多少被轉化爲自由現金流。在過去的三年裏,Evergy消耗了大量現金。雖然這可能是爲了增長而支出的結果,但這無疑使債務更加風險。
Our View
我們的觀點
To be frank both Evergy's level of total liabilities and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. Having said that, its ability to grow its EBIT isn't such a worry. We should also note that Electric Utilities industry companies like Evergy commonly do use debt without problems. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think Evergy has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 3 warning signs with Evergy (at least 1 which can't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
坦率地說,不僅僅是西星能源的總負債水平和將EBIT轉化爲自由現金流的記錄讓我們對其債務水平感到不安。 話雖如此,它增加EBIT的能力並不是一個令人擔憂的問題。 我們還應該注意,像西星能源這樣的電力公用事業行業公司通常在沒有問題的情況下使用債務。 在考慮所討論的數據點之後,我們認爲西星能源的債務過多。 對於某些人來說,這種風險是可以接受的,但確實不符合我們的利益。 明顯的焦點領域應該是資產負債表,當您分析債務時應該重點關注。 然而,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表內-相反。 我們發現了西星能源的3個警告信號(至少有1個是不容忽視的),了解它們應該成爲您投資過程的一部分。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
說到底,有時候更容易集中精力關注根本不需要債務的公司。讀者可以免費訪問零淨債務增長股票列表。
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