share_log

Skechers U.S.A., Inc. Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For Next Year

Skechers U.S.A., Inc. Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For Next Year

Skechers美國公司超過分析師的估計:看看共識對明年的預測是什麼
Simply Wall St ·  10/27 21:13

Shareholders might have noticed that Skechers U.S.A., Inc. (NYSE:SKX) filed its quarterly result this time last week. The early response was not positive, with shares down 6.2% to US$59.21 in the past week. The result was positive overall - although revenues of US$2.3b were in line with what the analysts predicted, Skechers U.S.A surprised by delivering a statutory profit of US$1.26 per share, modestly greater than expected. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Skechers U.S.A after the latest results.

股東可能已經注意到,Skechers U.S.A., Inc. (紐交所:SKX) 在上週這個時候提交了季度業績。初期反應並不樂觀,股價在過去一週下跌了6.2%,至59.21美元。整體來看,結果是積極的 - 儘管23億美元的營收符合分析師的預測,Skechers U.S.A 通過每股1.26美元的法定利潤交付了一個驚喜,比預期略高。分析師通常會在每份業績後更新他們的預測,我們可以根據他們的估計判斷公司的評估是否有變化,或者是否有任何需要注意的新問題。讀者會很高興地知道,我們已彙總最新的法定預測,以查看分析師在最新業績後是否改變了對Skechers U.S.A的看法。

big
NYSE:SKX Earnings and Revenue Growth October 27th 2024
紐交所:SKX 2024年10月27日收益和營收增長

Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Skechers U.S.A's twelve analysts is for revenues of US$9.91b in 2025. This would reflect a meaningful 14% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to climb 20% to US$4.94. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$9.87b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$5.03 in 2025. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

考慮到最新的業績,Skechers U.S.A的十二位分析師目前共識預計2025年營收將達到99.1億美元。這將反映出過去12個月其營收的意義重要增長14%。預計每股收益將增長20%,至4.94美元。在此報告發布之前,分析師曾對2025年的營收預測爲98.7億美元,每股收益(EPS)爲5.03美元。因此可以清楚地看出,儘管分析師已更新其估計,但在最新業績後並未出現對於公司預期的主要變化。

The analysts reconfirmed their price target of US$82.05, showing that the business is executing well and in line with expectations. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. The most optimistic Skechers U.S.A analyst has a price target of US$100.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$72.00. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.

分析師重申了他們82.05美元的目標價,顯示該業務表現良好,符合預期。看一下分析師估計的範圍可能也很有啓發性,以評估離群值的看法與平均值之間的差異有多大。最樂觀的Skechers U.S.A分析師目標價爲每股100.00美元,而最悲觀的爲72.00美元。這些目標價表明分析師對該公司存在一些不同的看法,但估計並未出現足夠的變化以使我們相信有些人正在賭博成功或絕對的失敗。

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. The period to the end of 2025 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 11% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 13% annual growth over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 6.0% per year. So although Skechers U.S.A is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's definitely expected to grow faster than the wider industry.

現在看大局,我們可以通過將這些預測與過去的業績和行業增長預期進行對比來理解這些預測的方式。到2025年底,根據分析師的說法,營業收入預計以年均11%的速度增長。這與過去五年裏其每年13%的增長相一致。相比之下,我們的數據顯示,預計在類似行業中的其他公司(受到分析師關注)的營業收入每年預計增長6.0%。因此,儘管Skechers美國預計將保持其營業收入增長率,但肯定是預計會比整個行業增長更快。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

最重要的是,分析師重申業績表現符合他們此前的每股收益預測,這一點並沒有發生重大變化。令人欣慰的是,收入預測沒有發生重大變化,預計企業仍將比整個行業增長得更快。共識價格目標沒有發生實質性變化,表明最新估值沒有發生重大變化。

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Skechers U.S.A. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Skechers U.S.A going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

考慮到這一點,我們不應該過快得出對Skechers美國公司的結論。長期收益能力遠比明年的利潤更重要。在Simply Wall St,我們對Skechers美國公司截至2026年的全面分析估值,您可以在我們的平台免費查看。

You can also see our analysis of Skechers U.S.A's Board and CEO remuneration and experience, and whether company insiders have been buying stock.

您還可以查看我們對Skechers美國公司董事會和CEO的報酬和經驗的分析,以及公司內部人員是否一直在買入股票。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
    搶先評論