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Why It Might Not Make Sense To Buy Kinder Morgan, Inc. (NYSE:KMI) For Its Upcoming Dividend

Why It Might Not Make Sense To Buy Kinder Morgan, Inc. (NYSE:KMI) For Its Upcoming Dividend

爲什麼買入 Kinder Morgan, Inc. (紐交所:KMI) 因其即將到來的股息可能無意義
Simply Wall St ·  10/26 22:25

It looks like Kinder Morgan, Inc. (NYSE:KMI) is about to go ex-dividend in the next four days. Typically, the ex-dividend date is one business day before the record date which is the date on which a company determines the shareholders eligible to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is important because any transaction on a stock needs to have been settled before the record date in order to be eligible for a dividend. In other words, investors can purchase Kinder Morgan's shares before the 31st of October in order to be eligible for the dividend, which will be paid on the 15th of November.

金德爾摩根公司(紐交所:KMI)即將在接下來的四天裏進行分紅派息。通常,分紅基準日是股權登記日的前一個營業日,股權登記日是公司確定有資格獲得股息的股東的日期。分紅基準日非常重要,因爲任何與股票有關的交易在股權登記日之前必須已經結算,才有資格獲得股息。換句話說,投資者可以在10月31日之前購買金德爾摩根的股票,以便有資格獲得於11月15日支付的分紅。

The company's next dividend payment will be US$0.2875 per share, and in the last 12 months, the company paid a total of US$1.15 per share. Looking at the last 12 months of distributions, Kinder Morgan has a trailing yield of approximately 4.6% on its current stock price of US$24.95. Dividends are an important source of income to many shareholders, but the health of the business is crucial to maintaining those dividends. That's why we should always check whether the dividend payments appear sustainable, and if the company is growing.

公司下一個分紅支付金額將爲每股美元0.2875,過去12個月,公司每股共支付了美元1.15。觀察過去12個月的分配情況,金德爾摩根以其當前股價美元24.95的股價具有約4.6%的滾動收益率。分紅對許多股東來說是重要的收入來源,但業務的健康對於維持這些分紅至關重要。這就是爲什麼我們應該始終檢查分紅支付是否顯得可持續,以及公司是否在增長。

Dividends are usually paid out of company profits, so if a company pays out more than it earned then its dividend is usually at greater risk of being cut. Kinder Morgan paid out 101% of its earnings, which is more than we're comfortable with, unless there are mitigating circumstances. A useful secondary check can be to evaluate whether Kinder Morgan generated enough free cash flow to afford its dividend. Over the past year it paid out 124% of its free cash flow as dividends, which is uncomfortably high. It's hard to consistently pay out more cash than you generate without either borrowing or using company cash, so we'd wonder how the company justifies this payout level.

分紅通常是用公司盈利支付的,因此,如果一家公司支付的金額超過了其收入,那麼其股息通常面臨更大的被削減風險。金德爾摩根支付了其利潤的101%,這超過了我們可以接受的範圍,除非存在減輕的情況。一個有用的二次檢查是評估金德爾摩根是否有足夠的自由現金流來支付其分紅。在過去的一年裏,金德爾摩根支付了其自由現金流的124%作爲分紅,這顯得過高。在沒有借款或使用企業現金的情況下,不斷支付比你產生的現金更多的金額是不容易的,所以我們需要思考公司如何解釋這個支付水平。

Cash is slightly more important than profit from a dividend perspective, but given Kinder Morgan's payments were not well covered by either earnings or cash flow, we are concerned about the sustainability of this dividend.

在分紅的角度來看,現金比利潤稍微更重要,但由於金德爾摩根的支付既沒有得到盈利或現金流的充分覆蓋,所以我們對該分紅的可持續性感到擔憂。

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

點擊此處查看公司的支付比率以及未來分紅的分析師預期。

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NYSE:KMI Historic Dividend October 26th 2024
紐交所:金德爾摩根2024年10月26日的歷史分紅

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

收益和股息一直在增長嗎?

Stocks in companies that generate sustainable earnings growth often make the best dividend prospects, as it is easier to lift the dividend when earnings are rising. If earnings decline and the company is forced to cut its dividend, investors could watch the value of their investment go up in smoke. Fortunately for readers, Kinder Morgan's earnings per share have been growing at 11% a year for the past five years. It's not encouraging to see Kinder Morgan paying out basically all of its earnings and cashflow to shareholders. We're glad that earnings are growing rapidly, but we're wary of the company stretching itself financially.

那些能夠產生持續盈利增長的公司股票往往是最好的分紅前景,因爲在盈利增長時提高分紅更容易。如果盈利下降並且公司被迫削減分紅,投資者可能會看到他們的投資價值化爲烏有。幸運的是對於讀者來說,金德爾摩根的每股盈利過去五年來以每年11%的速度增長。看到金德爾摩根基本上將所有盈利和現金流支付給股東並不令人鼓舞。我們很高興看到盈利迅速增長,但我們對公司在財務上的過度拉伸持謹慎態度。

Another key way to measure a company's dividend prospects is by measuring its historical rate of dividend growth. Kinder Morgan has seen its dividend decline 3.5% per annum on average over the past 10 years, which is not great to see. Kinder Morgan is a rare case where dividends have been decreasing at the same time as earnings per share have been improving. It's unusual to see, and could point to unstable conditions in the core business, or more rarely an intensified focus on reinvesting profits.

衡量公司的分紅前景的另一個關鍵方法是通過測量其歷史分紅增長率。金德爾摩根過去10年平均每年看到分紅下降3.5%,這並不是令人滿意的情況。金德爾摩根是一個罕見的情況,分紅在每股盈利改善的同時在減少。這種情況很少見,可能表明核心業務中存在不穩定因素,或者更罕見的是更加聚焦於重新投資利潤。

The Bottom Line

還有一件事需要注意的是,我們已經確定了上海醫藥的2個警告信號,了解這些信號應該成爲你的投資過程的一部分。

Has Kinder Morgan got what it takes to maintain its dividend payments? While it's nice to see earnings per share growing, we're curious about how Kinder Morgan intends to continue growing, or maintain the dividend in a downturn given that it's paying out such a high percentage of its earnings and cashflow. It's not the most attractive proposition from a dividend perspective, and we'd probably give this one a miss for now.

金德爾摩根有能力維持其分紅派息嗎?雖然每股收益增長讓人欣喜,但我們很好奇金德爾摩根打算如何繼續增長,或在經濟寒冬中如何維持分紅,考慮到它支付了如此高比例的收益和現金流。 從分紅角度來看,這並不是最具吸引力的提案,我們可能會暫時放棄。

Although, if you're still interested in Kinder Morgan and want to know more, you'll find it very useful to know what risks this stock faces. Our analysis shows 3 warning signs for Kinder Morgan that we strongly recommend you have a look at before investing in the company.

但是,如果您仍然對金德爾摩根感興趣,並想了解更多信息,了解這支股票面臨的風險將非常有幫助。我們的分析顯示金德爾摩根有3個警示信號,強烈建議您在投資該公司之前仔細研究。

A common investing mistake is buying the first interesting stock you see. Here you can find a full list of high-yield dividend stocks.

一個常見的投資錯誤是購買你看到的第一個有趣的股票。在這裏,您可以找到高股息股票的完整列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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