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Revenue Miss: Hithink RoyalFlush Information Network Co., Ltd. Fell 9.5% Short Of Analyst Revenue Estimates And Analysts Have Been Revising Their Models

Revenue Miss: Hithink RoyalFlush Information Network Co., Ltd. Fell 9.5% Short Of Analyst Revenue Estimates And Analysts Have Been Revising Their Models

營業收入不達預期:同花順掉落了9.5%,未達到分析師的營業收入預測,分析師們一直在修正他們的模型
Simply Wall St ·  10/26 06:38

Shareholders might have noticed that Hithink RoyalFlush Information Network Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300033) filed its quarterly result this time last week. The early response was not positive, with shares down 4.7% to CN¥201 in the past week. Revenues came in 9.5% below expectations, at CN¥945m. Statutory earnings per share were relatively better off, with a per-share profit of CN¥2.61 being roughly in line with analyst estimates. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

股東們可能已經注意到,同花順信息網絡股份有限公司(SZSE:300033)在上週此時提交了季度業績報告。最初的反應並不積極,股價在過去一週下跌了4.7%,至201元人民幣。營業收入低於預期的9.5%,達到94500萬人民幣。每股盈利方面相對較好,每股盈利爲2.61元人民幣,基本與分析師的預期持平。根據業績,分析師已經更新了盈利模型,了解他們是否認爲公司前景發生了強烈變化,還是一切如常將是很重要的。考慮到這一點,我們已蒐集了最新的法定預測,以了解分析師對明年的預期。

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SZSE:300033 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 25th 2024
SZSE:300033 2024年10月25日盈利和營收增長

Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from Hithink RoyalFlush Information Network's eleven analysts is for revenues of CN¥4.46b in 2025. This reflects a substantial 26% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to shoot up 45% to CN¥3.45. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of CN¥4.34b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥3.18 in 2025. It looks like there's been a modest increase in sentiment following the latest results, withthe analysts becoming a bit more optimistic in their predictions for both revenues and earnings.

考慮到最新的結果,同花順信息網絡的十一位分析師的一致預測是2025年營收達到44.6億人民幣。這較去年同期的營收增加了26%。每股盈利預計將增長45%,達到3.45元人民幣。然而,在最新業績公佈之前,分析師之前預計2025年的營收爲43.4億人民幣,每股收益(EPS)爲3.18元。看起來在最新業績公佈後,市場情緒有所增強,分析師對營收和盈利的預測變得更加樂觀。

With these upgrades, we're not surprised to see that the analysts have lifted their price target 30% to CN¥183per share. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. There are some variant perceptions on Hithink RoyalFlush Information Network, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at CN¥280 and the most bearish at CN¥76.80 per share. As you can see the range of estimates is wide, with the lowest valuation coming in at less than half the most bullish estimate, suggesting there are some strongly diverging views on how analysts think this business will perform. As a result it might not be a great idea to make decisions based on the consensus price target, which is after all just an average of this wide range of estimates.

考慮到這些預測的提升,我們並不意外看到分析師將其股價目標提高了30%,達到183元人民幣每股。然而,只專注於單一價格目標可能不明智,因爲共識目標實際上是分析師價格目標的平均值。因此,一些投資者喜歡查看一系列估算,以查看對公司估值是否存在不同的意見。對同花順信息網絡存在一些不同的觀點,最看好的分析師將其估值定爲280元人民幣,而最看淡的爲76.80元人民幣每股。可以看到,估值範圍很廣,最低估值不到最看好估值的一半,這表明分析師對該業務的表現存在一些強烈分歧看法。因此,根據共識價格目標做決策可能不是個好主意,畢竟這只是對這一廣泛估值範圍的平均值。

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. The analysts are definitely expecting Hithink RoyalFlush Information Network's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 21% annualised growth to the end of 2025 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 13% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 9.8% per year. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Hithink RoyalFlush Information Network is expected to grow much faster than its industry.

要更好地了解這些預測的背景,可以比較它們與過往業績以及同行業其他公司的表現。分析師明顯預計同花順的增長將加速,預計到2025年底的年化增長率爲21%,與過去五年年均13%的歷史增長率相比頗具競爭力。相比之下,我們的數據顯示,預計在類似行業中受到分析師關注的其他公司年收入增長率爲9.8%。考慮到收入預計加速增長,很明顯,同花順預計將比其行業增長速度快得多。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。

The most important thing here is that the analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates, suggesting that there has been a clear increase in optimism towards Hithink RoyalFlush Information Network following these results. Happily, they also upgraded their revenue estimates, and are forecasting them to grow faster than the wider industry. We note an upgrade to the price target, suggesting that the analysts believes the intrinsic value of the business is likely to improve over time.

這裏最重要的是,分析師調高了每股收益預期,表明隨着這些結果的公佈,對同花順的樂觀情緒明顯增加。令人高興的是,他們還提高了營收預期,並預計增速將快於更廣泛的行業。我們注意到有關價值目標的提升,表明分析師認爲該業務的內在價值可能會隨時間改善。

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Hithink RoyalFlush Information Network going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

基於這種思路,我們認爲業務的長期前景比明年的收益更加相關。在Simply Wall St,我們提供了截至2026年的同花順分析師預估的全部範圍,並您可以在我們的平台上免費查看。

Before you take the next step you should know about the 2 warning signs for Hithink RoyalFlush Information Network (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that we have uncovered.

在您邁出下一步之前,您應該了解我們發現的同花順的2個警示信號(其中1個不應被忽視!)。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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