share_log

Here's Why Flowserve (NYSE:FLS) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Here's Why Flowserve (NYSE:FLS) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

這就是爲什麼福斯(紐交所:FLS)能夠負責任地管理其債務
Simply Wall St ·  10/25 18:53

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Flowserve Corporation (NYSE:FLS) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

伯克希爾哈撒韋的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李錄在談到投資風險時毫不諱言,他說:「最大的投資風險不在於價格的波動,而在於您是否會遭受永久性資本損失。」 當您考慮一家公司的風險程度時,自然會考慮到其資產負債表,因爲企業破產通常涉及到債務。值得注意的是,福斯公司(紐交所:FLS)確實存在債務。但真正的問題是這些債務是否使公司變得風險更高。

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候負債才是一個問題?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

當企業無法通過自由現金流或以有吸引力的價格籌集資本來輕鬆履行這些義務時,債務和其他負債變得有風險。如果事情變得非常糟糕,放貸人可以控制企業。然而,更頻繁的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久性地稀釋股東,以維持其資產負債表。通過取代稀釋,債務可以成爲需要以高回報率投資增長的企業非常好的工具。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,首先要做的是看看其現金和債務合在一起的情況。

What Is Flowserve's Net Debt?

福斯的淨債務是多少?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Flowserve had US$1.26b in debt in June 2024; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$515.1m, its net debt is less, at about US$740.7m.

下面的圖表顯示,截至2024年6月,福斯的債務爲12.6億美元;與前一年相比基本持平。然而,由於其現金儲備達到了51510萬美元,因此其淨債務較少,大約爲74070萬美元。

big
NYSE:FLS Debt to Equity History October 25th 2024
紐交所:FLS債務與股本歷史數據2024年10月25日

A Look At Flowserve's Liabilities

福斯的負債情況

According to the last reported balance sheet, Flowserve had liabilities of US$1.41b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$1.74b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$515.1m in cash and US$1.32b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$1.31b.

根據最近披露的資產負債表,福斯在12個月內到期的負債爲14.1億美元,超過12個月到期的負債爲17.4億美元。抵消這一情況的是,它在12個月內到期的現金爲51510萬元美元,應收賬款爲13.2億美元。因此,其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收賬款的總和13.1億美元。

Given Flowserve has a market capitalization of US$6.96b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

考慮到福斯的市值爲69.6億美元,很難相信這些負債會構成多大威脅。話雖如此,顯而易見,我們應繼續監測其資產負債表,以防情況變得更糟。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

爲了衡量公司相對於其收益的債務情況,我們計算其淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前收益(EBITDA)和其利息支出除以利息前收益(EBIT)的比例(其利息覆蓋率)。這種方法的優點是,我們既考慮了債務的絕對量(淨負債與 EBITDA),又考慮到了與該債務相關的實際利息支出(其利息覆蓋率)。

With net debt sitting at just 1.3 times EBITDA, Flowserve is arguably pretty conservatively geared. And this view is supported by the solid interest coverage, with EBIT coming in at 7.8 times the interest expense over the last year. On top of that, Flowserve grew its EBIT by 42% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Flowserve can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

淨債務僅爲EBITDA的1.3倍,可以說福斯的財務結構相當保守。這種看法得到了穩健的利息覆蓋率的支持,過去一年EBIt是利息費用的7.8倍。此外,福斯在過去12個月增加了42%的EBIt,這種增長將使其更容易處理債務。在分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是關注的重點。但最終業務未來的盈利能力將決定福斯是否能夠隨着時間加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您專注於未來,您可以查看這份顯示分析師盈利預測的免費報告。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, Flowserve's free cash flow amounted to 32% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

最後,一家公司只能用冷硬現金而非會計利潤償還債務。因此,理性的做法是查看EBIt中與實際自由現金流相匹配的比例。在過去三年中,福斯的自由現金流佔其EBIt的32%,低於我們的預期。在償還債務方面,並不理想。

Our View

我們的觀點

Happily, Flowserve's impressive EBIT growth rate implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But truth be told we feel its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow does undermine this impression a bit. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Flowserve can handle its debt fairly comfortably. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Flowserve .

幸好,福斯令人印象深刻的EBIt增長率意味着它在債務方面佔據上風。 但事實告訴我們,它將EBIt轉化爲自由現金流的能力稍微削弱了這一印象。 綜合考慮所有上述因素,福斯可以相對輕鬆地處理其債務。 從積極的一面看,這種槓桿可以提高股東回報率,但潛在的下行風險是更大的虧損風險,因此值得監控資產負債表。 毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表上了解到最多關於債務的信息。 但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表內,遠非如此。 因此,您應該注意我們在福斯發現的1個警示標誌。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
    搶先評論