share_log

Where Will BNS Stock Be in 1/3/5 Years?

Where Will BNS Stock Be in 1/3/5 Years?

BNS股票在1/3/5年內會處於什麼水平?
The Motley Fool ·  10/24 07:00

Bank of Nova Scotia (TSX:BNS), affectionally called Scotiabank by its users and investors, is a top Canadian bank stock many investors consider for its long-term total returns. That makes sense, looking at the chart below and the fact that this top dividend stock is now trading near its all-time high.

豐業銀行(tsx:BNS),用戶和投資者親切地稱其爲Scotiabank,是加拿大一家頂級銀行股,許多投資者考慮其長期總回報。從下面的圖表以及這家頂級分紅股目前接近歷史最高點的事實來看,這是有道理的。

The company's long-term performance has been stellar, and despite a dip last year around the regional banking crisis in the U.S. (which bled over into other international markets), Scotiabank has performed quite well. The company's core business is its Canadian retail and wealth management business, though the company does have a strong presence in international banking and global markets/wealth management.

公司的長期表現一直十分出色,儘管去年美國區域銀行危機(波及其他國際市場)導致股價下跌,但豐業銀行表現相當不錯。該公司的核心業務是加拿大零售和财富管理業務,儘管公司在國際銀行業務和全球市場/财富管理方面也佔據重要地位。

Here's why I think this is a top Canadian bank worth considering right now, and where Scotiabank stock could be headed over the medium term.

我認爲這是一家值得考慮的頂級加拿大銀行,以及豐業銀行股票未來可能走向的中期情況。

Strong performance likely to continue

強勁表現可能會持續

As mentioned, one of Scotiabank's strengths is its diversified business model. While the lender's Canadian business is certainly most important to its bottom line, the company is also a strong player in Latin America. That's where I see the company's growth likely to really accelerate from, particularly if it can continue growing in its core markets and expand into new markets.

如前所述,豐業銀行的一個優勢是其多元化的業務模式。雖然該銀行的加拿大業務對其底線至關重要,但公司也在拉丁美洲擁有強大的實力。我認爲公司的增長可能會真正加速,特別是如果它能夠在覈心市場持續增長並進入新市場。

In recent quarters, investors have certainly seen signs that this growth is likely to continue. The company's Q2 results showcased 5.5% revenue growth, with strong net income coming in above $2 billion for the quarter. Perhaps more impressive was the company's return on equity, which came in at 11.2% for the quarter and is among the best of its peer group.

在最近的幾個季度裏,投資者確實看到了這種增長有望持續下去的跡象。公司Q2的業績展示了5.5%的營業收入增長,淨利潤在本季度超過了20億美元。也許更令人印象深刻的是公司的淨資產收益率,本季度達到了11.2%,是同行業中最好的之一。

Where is this stock headed from here?

這隻股票未來會走向何方?

Making precise predictions about where any stock is headed is a game I'm not necessarily interested in playing, particularly because I don't have any more information than the market, and it's possible that a range of macro outcomes (which are outside of Scotiabank's control) could impact the stock to a much more significant degree than the bank's underlying operations.

對任何股票未來走向做出精確預測是一場我並不一定感興趣的遊戲,特別是因爲我沒有比市場更多的信息,可能各種宏觀結果(超出豐業銀行控制範圍)可能會對該股產生比銀行基礎業務更顯著的影響。

But assuming that things continue as they have in recent years, I wouldn't be surprised to see Scotiabank's stock price increase at a double-digit rate. Indeed, a move of 26% over the past year in BNS stock has been remarkable, and that's the sort of return investors have cheered. However, I'm not confident such returns will be possible over the next three to five years, with a more likely outcome being a 10% total return (inclusive of dividends), if I had to handicap this stock right now.

但是假設未來幾年繼續保持現狀,看到豐業銀行的股價以兩位數的速度增長也就不足爲奇了。事實上,在過去一年中豐業銀行股票上漲了26%,這是令人矚目的,投資者對此類回報感到高興。然而,我並不確定未來三到五年能夠實現這樣的回報,更有可能的結果是整體回報率爲10%(包括分紅),如果我現在不得不對這隻股票做出預測。

The company's multiple remains reasonable, and Scotiabank has plenty of room to outgrow its peers. If that is the case, perhaps there's an even more bullish argument that can be made for this stock. But 10% annual returns certainly aren't bad, and that's what I think investors should be aiming for with this particular company over the medium term.

該公司的估值仍然合理,豐業銀行有足夠的空間超越同行。如果是這種情況,也許可以更加看好這支股票。但是,每年10%的回報當然不錯,這就是我認爲投資者在中期內應該以這家特定公司爲目標的回報。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
    搶先評論