Those holding Gallant Venture Ltd. (SGX:5IG) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 27% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 33% over that time.
Even after such a large jump in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Gallant Venture's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.6x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Integrated Utilities industry in Singapore, where the median P/S ratio is around 2.2x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
What Does Gallant Venture's Recent Performance Look Like?
Gallant Venture has been doing a decent job lately as it's been growing revenue at a reasonable pace. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to only match most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from rising. Those who are bullish on Gallant Venture will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Gallant Venture's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Gallant Venture's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 5.0% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 35% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.
Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 5.6% shows it's noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we find it interesting that Gallant Venture is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance is at its limits and have been accepting lower selling prices.
What We Can Learn From Gallant Venture's P/S?
Gallant Venture appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Gallant Venture currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. There could be some unobserved threats to revenue preventing the P/S ratio from matching this positive performance. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to see the likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Gallant Venture (1 is potentially serious) you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Gallant Venture, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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