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Not Many Are Piling Into FuelCell Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ:FCEL) Stock Yet As It Plummets 26%

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 23 18:34

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the FuelCell Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ:FCEL) share price has dived 26% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 73% loss during that time.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, there still wouldn't be many who think FuelCell Energy's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.1x is worth a mention when the median P/S in the United States' Electrical industry is similar at about 1.7x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

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NasdaqGM:FCEL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 23rd 2024

What Does FuelCell Energy's Recent Performance Look Like?

FuelCell Energy could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on FuelCell Energy.

How Is FuelCell Energy's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like FuelCell Energy's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 39%. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 17% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the nine analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 63% per year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 20% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we find it interesting that FuelCell Energy is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Key Takeaway

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for FuelCell Energy looks to be in line with the rest of the Electrical industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Despite enticing revenue growth figures that outpace the industry, FuelCell Energy's P/S isn't quite what we'd expect. Perhaps uncertainty in the revenue forecasts are what's keeping the P/S ratio consistent with the rest of the industry. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for FuelCell Energy that we have uncovered.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

The above content is for informational or educational purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice related to Futu. Although we strive to ensure the truthfulness, accuracy, and originality of all such content, we cannot guarantee it.
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