Capital Allocation Trends At Skyworks Solutions (NASDAQ:SWKS) Aren't Ideal
Capital Allocation Trends At Skyworks Solutions (NASDAQ:SWKS) Aren't Ideal
To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Skyworks Solutions (NASDAQ:SWKS) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
要找到一個潛力股,我們在業務中應該關注什麼潛在趨勢?除其他因素外,我們希望看到兩件事;首先是資本僱用回報率(ROCE)增長,其次是公司資本僱用量的擴大。最終,這表明這是一家正以不斷增加的回報率重新投資利潤的企業。然而,經過簡要查看數據後,我們認爲思佳訊(納斯達克:SWKS)未來可能不具備成爲潛力股的特徵,不過讓我們看看爲什麼會這樣。
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
我們對 Enphase Energy 的資本僱用回報率的看法:正如我們上面看到的,Enphase Energy 的資本回報率沒有提高,但它正在重新投資於業務。投資者必須認爲未來會有更好的前景,因爲股票表現良好,使持股五年以上的股東獲得了 690% 的收益。最終,如果基本趨勢持續存在,我們不會對它成爲一隻多頭股持有期很久很有信心。
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on Skyworks Solutions is:
只是爲了澄清一下,如果您不確定,ROCE是評估公司在其業務中投入的資本所獲稅前收入的百分比指標。這一計算在思佳訊上的公式爲:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
資產僱用回報率(ROCE)是指企業利潤,即企業稅前利潤除以企業投入的總資本(負債加股權)。如果ROCE高於企業財務成本的承受能力,那麼企業就會創造出更多的價值。
0.11 = US$850m ÷ (US$8.2b - US$563m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
0.11 = 85000萬美元 ÷ (82億美元 - 5.63億美元)(基於截至2024年6月的過去十二個月)。
Thus, Skyworks Solutions has an ROCE of 11%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 9.0% generated by the Semiconductor industry.
因此,思佳訊的ROCE爲11%。單獨看來,這是一個標準回報率,但它遠高於半導體行業的9.0%。
In the above chart we have measured Skyworks Solutions' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Skyworks Solutions for free.
在上面的圖表中,我們將思佳訊先前的ROCE與其先前的績效進行了比較,但未來可能更重要。如果您願意,您可以免費查看覆蓋思佳訊的分析師的預測。
The Trend Of ROCE
當尋找下一個倍增器時,如果您不確定從哪裏開始,請關注幾個關鍵趨勢。首先,我們希望看到一個經過驗證的資本使用率。如果您看到這一點,通常意味着這是一家擁有出色業務模式和大量盈利再投資機會的公司。然而,調查蒙托克可再生能源公司(NASDAQ:MNTK)後,我們認爲它的現行趨勢不符合倍增器的模式。
In terms of Skyworks Solutions' historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 25% over the last five years. And considering revenue has dropped while employing more capital, we'd be cautious. If this were to continue, you might be looking at a company that is trying to reinvest for growth but is actually losing market share since sales haven't increased.
就思佳訊歷史ROCE走勢而言,趨勢並不理想。具體來說,過去五年中ROCE已下降至25%。考慮到營業收入下降而資本投入增加的情況,我們會持謹慎態度。如果這種情況繼續下去,您可能要關注的是一家試圖爲增長進行再投資但實際上正在失去市場份額的公司,因爲銷售額並未增加。
In Conclusion...
最後,同等資本下回報率較低的趨勢通常不是我們關注創業板股票的最佳信號。由於這些發展進行良好,因此投資者不太可能表現友好。自五年前以來,該股下跌了32%。除非這些指標朝着更積極的軌跡轉變,否則我們將繼續尋找其他股票。
In summary, we're somewhat concerned by Skyworks Solutions' diminishing returns on increasing amounts of capital. Despite the concerning underlying trends, the stock has actually gained 17% over the last five years, so it might be that the investors are expecting the trends to reverse. Regardless, we don't like the trends as they are and if they persist, we think you might find better investments elsewhere.
總之,我們對思佳訊資本增加收益遞減的情況感到擔憂。儘管存在令人擔憂的基礎趨勢,但股價在過去五年中實際上上漲了17%,因此投資者可能預期這種趨勢會逆轉。無論如何,我們不喜歡當前的趨勢,如果它們持續下去,我們認爲您可能會在其他地方找到更好的投資機會。
Skyworks Solutions could be trading at an attractive price in other respects, so you might find our free intrinsic value estimation for SWKS on our platform quite valuable.
思佳訊在其他方面可能以有吸引力的價格交易,因此您可能會發現我們平台上針對SWKS的免費內在價值估算非常有價值。
While Skyworks Solutions may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
儘管思佳訊目前可能未實現最高回報,但我們已經編制了一份目前實現25%以上淨資產收益率的公司名單。在這裏免費查看這份名單。
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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。