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Further Upside For Markforged Holding Corporation (NYSE:MKFG) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 140% Bounce

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 22 20:34

Markforged Holding Corporation (NYSE:MKFG) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 140% gain and recovering from prior weakness. But the last month did very little to improve the 58% share price decline over the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Markforged Holding's P/S ratio of 1.1x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Machinery industry in the United States is also close to 1.4x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

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NYSE:MKFG Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 22nd 2024

What Does Markforged Holding's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Markforged Holding hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Markforged Holding's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Markforged Holding's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Markforged Holding would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 17%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 7.4% in total. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 9.5% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 0.6% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we find it interesting that Markforged Holding is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What Does Markforged Holding's P/S Mean For Investors?

Markforged Holding appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Looking at Markforged Holding's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't giving the boost to its P/S that we would've expected. There could be some risks that the market is pricing in, which is preventing the P/S ratio from matching the positive outlook. However, if you agree with the analysts' forecasts, you may be able to pick up the stock at an attractive price.

Having said that, be aware Markforged Holding is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those makes us a bit uncomfortable.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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