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Earnings Beat: Bank of America Corporation Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

Earnings Beat: Bank of America Corporation Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

盈利超出預期:美國銀行公司剛剛超過分析師的預測,而分析師一直在更新他們的模型
Simply Wall St ·  18:02

Investors in Bank of America Corporation (NYSE:BAC) had a good week, as its shares rose 7.1% to close at US$42.80 following the release of its quarterly results. The result was positive overall - although revenues of US$25b were in line with what the analysts predicted, Bank of America surprised by delivering a statutory profit of US$0.81 per share, modestly greater than expected. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.

美國銀行股東度過了美好的一週,隨着季度業績發佈,其股價上漲了7.1%,收盤價爲42.80美元。總體而言,結果是積極的——儘管250億美元的營業收入與分析師預測的一致,但美國銀行通過每股0.81美元的法定利潤出人意料地超過了預期。在公佈結果後,分析師們已更新其盈利模型,了解他們是否認爲公司前景發生了重大變化,還是一切照舊將是很有幫助的。因此,我們彙總了最新的盈利後預測,看看估計會有怎樣的變化。

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NYSE:BAC Earnings and Revenue Growth October 17th 2024
紐交所:BAC 2024年10月17日盈利和營收增長

Following the latest results, Bank of America's 16 analysts are now forecasting revenues of US$106.2b in 2025. This would be a solid 12% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to leap 27% to US$3.61. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$105.9b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$3.59 in 2025. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

根據最新的結果,美國銀行的16位分析師預測2025年的營業收入爲1062億美元。與過去12個月相比,這將是營收穩健增長12%。預計法定每股收益將飆升27%,達到3.61美元。在此盈利報告發布之前,分析師們曾預測2025年的營業收入爲1059億美元,每股收益爲3.59美元。因此,顯然儘管分析師調整了其預估值,但在發佈最新結果後,對公司的預期並未發生重大變化。

It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at US$45.79. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. The most optimistic Bank of America analyst has a price target of US$53.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$39.50. The narrow spread of estimates could suggest that the business' future is relatively easy to value, or thatthe analysts have a strong view on its prospects.

因此,並不會讓人感到驚訝的是,共識價格目標基本保持在45.79美元。然而,還有另一種方式來看待價格目標,那就是查看分析師提出的一系列價格目標,因爲廣泛的估值範圍可能意味着對企業可能結果存在不同看法。最樂觀的美國銀行分析師將每股目標價設定爲53.00美元,而最悲觀的則爲39.50美元。估值範圍狹窄可能意味着該企業未來的價值相對容易評估,或者分析師對其前景有明確看法。

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. It's clear from the latest estimates that Bank of America's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 9.7% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 4.2% p.a. over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 6.5% annually. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Bank of America is expected to grow much faster than its industry.

當然,審視這些預測的另一種方式是將它們與整個行業背景相結合。從最新的估計數據可以明顯看出,美國銀行的增長速度預計將明顯加快,到2025年底的預計年化營業收入增長率爲9.7%,明顯快於過去五年的歷史增長率爲4.2%。將此與同行業中其他公司相比較,他們的預計年收入增長率爲6.5%。考慮到營收預計加速增長,很清楚美國銀行有望比同行業增長速度更快。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at US$45.79, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

最重要的是要明白,市場情緒沒有發生重大變化,分析師再次確認業務表現與之前的每股收益估計保持一致。令人高興的是,營收預測沒有發生重大變化,業務仍然預計增長速度將快於整個行業。共識價格目標保持在45.79美元,最新估計數據不足以影響他們的價格目標。

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Bank of America going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

牢記這一點,我們認爲業務的長期發展軌跡對投資者來說更爲重要。在Simply Wall St,我們爲美國銀行制定了截至2026年的全套分析師估值數據,您可以在我們的平台上免費查看。

Before you take the next step you should know about the 1 warning sign for Bank of America that we have uncovered.

在您邁出下一步之前,您應了解我們發現的美國銀行的1個警示信號。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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