Recent 3.6% Pullback Isn't Enough to Hurt Long-term Ternium (NYSE:TX) Shareholders, They're Still up 154% Over 5 Years
Recent 3.6% Pullback Isn't Enough to Hurt Long-term Ternium (NYSE:TX) Shareholders, They're Still up 154% Over 5 Years
The simplest way to invest in stocks is to buy exchange traded funds. But in our experience, buying the right stocks can give your wealth a significant boost. For example, the Ternium S.A. (NYSE:TX) share price is up 94% in the last five years, slightly above the market return. In comparison, the share price is down 5.4% in a year.
投資股票的最簡單方式是購買交易所交易基金。但根據我們的經驗,選擇正確的股票可大幅增加財富。例如,特爾尼翁鋼鐵 (紐交所:TX) 的股價在過去五年中上漲了94%,略高於市場回報率。相比之下,該股價在一年內下跌了5.4%。
While the stock has fallen 3.6% this week, it's worth focusing on the longer term and seeing if the stocks historical returns have been driven by the underlying fundamentals.
雖然股票本週下跌了3.6%,但值得關注的是長期情況,並且要看看股票的歷史回報是否是由潛在的基本面所驅動的。
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
禾倫·巴菲特在他的文章《格雷厄姆與多德維爾的超級投資者》中描述了股票價格並不總是合理地反映了一家企業的價值。考慮市場對一家公司的看法如何轉變的一種不完美但簡單的方法,是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價的動態進行比較。
During five years of share price growth, Ternium achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 1.0% per year. We do note that extraordinary items have impacted its earnings history. This EPS growth is slower than the share price growth of 14% per year, over the same period. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did five years ago. And that's hardly shocking given the track record of growth.
在五年股價增長期間,特爾尼翁鋼鐵實現了每股收益 (EPS) 平均每年增長1.0%。我們注意到非常規項目影響了其盈利歷史。這種EPS增長速度低於同期每年14%的股價增長。因此可以合理地假設市場對該企業的看法比五年前更高。考慮到增長記錄,這並不令人震驚。
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
該公司的每股收益(隨時間的推移)如下圖所示(單擊可查看確切數字)。
Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.
在購買或出售股票之前,我們始終建議對歷史增長趨勢進行仔細研究,可以在這裏找到相關信息。
What About Dividends?
那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Ternium, it has a TSR of 154% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
除了衡量股價回報之外,投資者還應考慮總股東回報(TSR)。 TSR包括任何剝離或折價增資的價值,以及根據股息被再投資的假設計算任何股息。可以說,TSR更全面地展示了股票帶來的收益。就特爾尼翁而言,過去5年其TSR爲154%。這超過了我們之前提到的股價回報。毫無疑問,股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧!
A Different Perspective
不同的觀點
Ternium provided a TSR of 2.8% over the last twelve months. But that was short of the market average. If we look back over five years, the returns are even better, coming in at 21% per year for five years. Maybe the share price is just taking a breather while the business executes on its growth strategy. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Ternium you should be aware of.
特爾尼翁在過去12個月提供了2.8%的TSR。但這低於市場平均水平。如果我們回顧過去5年,收益甚至更好,平均每年達到21%。也許股價只是在業務執行其增長策略時緩一口氣。雖然考慮市場狀況對股價的影響是值得的,但還有更重要的因素。舉個例子:我們發現了特爾尼翁的1個警示信號,您應該注意。
Of course Ternium may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.
當然,特爾尼翁鋼鐵可能不是最好的股票買入選擇。因此,您可能希望查看這些免費的成長股集合。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文所引述的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。