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Is Madrigal Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:MDGL) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 11 20:32

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:MDGL) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

How Much Debt Does Madrigal Pharmaceuticals Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2024 Madrigal Pharmaceuticals had debt of US$116.6m, up from US$99.2m in one year. However, it does have US$1.06b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of US$941.2m.

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NasdaqGS:MDGL Debt to Equity History October 11th 2024

How Healthy Is Madrigal Pharmaceuticals' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Madrigal Pharmaceuticals had liabilities of US$125.2m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$117.5m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$1.06b in cash and US$6.90m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has US$822.0m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

It's good to see that Madrigal Pharmaceuticals has plenty of liquidity on its balance sheet, suggesting conservative management of liabilities. Because it has plenty of assets, it is unlikely to have trouble with its lenders. Succinctly put, Madrigal Pharmaceuticals boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Madrigal Pharmaceuticals can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

In the last year Madrigal Pharmaceuticals managed to produce its first revenue as a listed company, but given the lack of profit, shareholders will no doubt be hoping to see some strong increases.

So How Risky Is Madrigal Pharmaceuticals?

By their very nature companies that are losing money are more risky than those with a long history of profitability. And we do note that Madrigal Pharmaceuticals had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, over the last year. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of US$456m and booked a US$510m accounting loss. But at least it has US$941.2m on the balance sheet to spend on growth, near-term. Even though its balance sheet seems sufficiently liquid, debt always makes us a little nervous if a company doesn't produce free cash flow regularly. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Madrigal Pharmaceuticals has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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