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Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Sutro Biopharma, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:STRO) 25% Price Drop

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 11 18:59

The Sutro Biopharma, Inc. (NASDAQ:STRO) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 25%. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 17% share price drop.

Since its price has dipped substantially, Sutro Biopharma may be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.6x, since almost half of all companies in the Biotechs industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 11.5x and even P/S higher than 67x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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NasdaqGM:STRO Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 11th 2024

What Does Sutro Biopharma's Recent Performance Look Like?

Sutro Biopharma certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think Sutro Biopharma's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as Sutro Biopharma's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 198% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 146% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 13% per annum during the coming three years according to the eleven analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 146% per year, which paints a poor picture.

With this information, we are not surprised that Sutro Biopharma is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

The Final Word

Having almost fallen off a cliff, Sutro Biopharma's share price has pulled its P/S way down as well. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Sutro Biopharma's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking revenue is contributing to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless there's material change, it's hard to envision a situation where the stock price will rise drastically.

It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Sutro Biopharma that you need to take into consideration.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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