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The 1 Mining Stock Canadians Should Buy and Hold Forever

The 1 Mining Stock Canadians Should Buy and Hold Forever

加拿大人應該買入並持有永遠的礦業股票
The Motley Fool ·  10/10 09:30

Gold is a precious metal that has proven to be a store of value and a hedge against inflation. Investors use the safe-haven metal to insulate their portfolios from macroeconomic shocks, including recessions and geopolitical tensions.

黃金是一種貴金屬,已被證明是一種價值儲存手段和對沖通貨膨脹的工具。投資者使用避險金屬來保護其投資組合免受宏觀經濟衝擊,包括衰退和地緣政治緊張局勢的影響。

The yellow metal touched a fresh record high of US$2,650 an ounce last month and has rallied roughly 30% this year, outpacing major indices such as the S&P 500. In the last five years, gold prices have surged over 75% due to factors such as the COVID-19 pandemic, inflation, and rising geopolitical concerns.

黃金上個月觸及每盎司2650美元的歷史新高,今年上漲了約30%,超過了標準普爾500指數等主要指數。在過去五年中,由於 COVID-19 疫情、通貨膨脹和地緣政治擔憂加劇等因素,黃金價格飆升了75%以上。

Investors should consider gaining exposure to gold to diversify their portfolio and lower overall risk. One way is to invest in gold mining companies positioned to generate higher total returns than the physical asset, as they can expand production and lower costs, resulting in economies of scale.

投資者應考慮增加黃金敞口,以分散投資組合並降低整體風險。一種方法是投資有望產生比實物資產更高的總回報的金礦開採公司,因爲它們可以擴大產量和降低成本,從而產生規模經濟。

Newmont Corp. (TSX:NGT) is a quality gold miner that remains a top investment in 2024. Let's see why.

紐蒙特公司(多倫多證券交易所股票代碼:NGT)是一家優質的黃金礦商,仍是2024年的首要投資。讓我們看看爲什麼。

The bull case for Newmont stock

紐蒙特股票的牛市案例

Valued at $82.6 billion by market cap, Newmont is the largest publicly traded gold mining company globally. With assets located in the Americas, Africa, and Australia, Newmont expects to produce 6.9 million ounces of gold this year.

按市值計算,紐蒙特市值爲826億美元,是全球最大的上市金礦開採公司。紐蒙特的資產位於美洲、非洲和澳大利亞,預計今年將生產690萬盎司的黃金。

Newmont benefits from a portfolio focused on Tier 1 operations, which allowed it to produce 1.6 million ounces of gold in Q2 and 477,000 gold equivalent ounces of copper, silver, lead, and zinc. The mining giant generated US$1.4 billion in operating cash flow and US$594 million in free cash flow in Q2, which meant it spent more than US$800 million in capital expenditures.

紐蒙特受益於專注於一級業務的投資組合,這使其能夠在第二季度生產160萬盎司黃金,並生產47.7萬盎司的銅、銀、鉛和鋅當量黃金當量。這家礦業巨頭在第二季度創造了14億美元的運營現金流和5.94億美元的自由現金流,這意味着其資本支出超過8億美元。

Newmont continues to offload non-core assets and is on track to earn US$2 billion from its capital recycling initiatives in 2024. The proceeds will be used to strengthen the balance sheet and advance capital allocation priorities. In the June quarter, Newmont reduced its debt by US$250 million and returned US$540 million to shareholders via dividends and buybacks.

紐蒙特繼續轉移非核心資產,並有望在2024年通過其資本回收計劃獲得20億美元的收入。所得款項將用於加強資產負債表和推進資本配置優先事項。在6月的季度中,紐蒙特將其債務減少了2.5億美元,並通過分紅和回購向股東返還了5.4億美元。

Moreover, since closing the Newcrest acquisition a few months back, Newmont is on track to achieve US$500 million in cost synergies. In Q2, its cost synergies totaled US$100 million, bringing its run rate to US$205 million.

此外,自幾個月前完成對紐克雷斯特的收購以來,紐蒙特有望實現5億美元的成本協同效應。在第二季度,其成本協同效應總額爲1億美元,使其運行率達到2.05億美元。

Is Newmont stock undervalued?

紐蒙特股票被低估了嗎?

Rising gold prices have allowed Newmont stock to return close to 30% to shareholders year-to-date. The gold miner underperformed in the first half of 2024 as it lowered its quarterly dividend to US$0.25 per share from US$0.40 per share, as it is focused on optimizing its precious metals portfolio. Despite the dividend cut, Newmont offers shareholders a forward yield of 1.9%.

今年迄今爲止,金價上漲使紐蒙特股票向股東的回報率接近30%。這家黃金礦商在2024年上半年表現不佳,因爲它專注於優化其貴金屬投資組合,將季度股息從每股0.40美元下調至每股0.25美元。儘管削減了股息,但紐蒙特仍爲股東提供了1.9%的遠期收益率。

Notably, Newmont disclosed plans to repurchase US$1 billion worth of stock in the next 24 months and might raise its dividend payout once the portfolio restructuring is complete.

值得注意的是,紐蒙特披露了在未來24個月內回購價值10億美元的股票的計劃,並可能在投資組合重組完成後增加其股息支出。

In the last 12 months, Newmont's free cash flow has risen to US$649 million, up from US$97 million in 2023, due to a focus on cost savings and rising profit margins. The stock is priced at 12 times operating cash flow, which is not too expensive given that adjusted earnings are forecast to expand from US$1.61 per share in 2023 to US$3.85 per share in 2025.

在過去的12個月中,紐蒙特的自由現金流已從2023年的9700萬美元增至6.49億美元,這要歸因於成本節約和利潤率的提高。該股的定價爲運營現金流的12倍,鑑於調整後的每股收益預計將從2023年的1.61美元擴大到2025年的每股3.85美元,這並不算太昂貴。

Analysts remain bullish and expect the gold mining stock to surge over 15% in the next 12 months.

分析師仍然看漲,並預計金礦開採股將在未來12個月內飆升15%以上。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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