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We Think Amphenol (NYSE:APH) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Amphenol (NYSE:APH) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我們認爲安諾電子(紐交所:APH)能夠繼續保持領先地位
Simply Wall St ·  10/10 00:30

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Amphenol Corporation (NYSE:APH) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

伯克希爾-哈撒韋的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李錄在談到「最大的投資風險並非價格的波動,而是是否會遭受永久性的資本損失」時絕不諱言。因此,當你考慮任何特定股票的風險時,需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會拖垮一家公司。和許多其他公司一樣,安諾電子公司(紐交所:APH)也在利用債務。但是這種債務是否會讓股東擔憂呢?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候負債才是一個問題?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

一般而言,債務只有在公司無法輕鬆償還債務,無論是通過籌集資金還是用其自己的現金流,時才成爲一個真正的問題。資本主義的部分內容是「創造性破壞」過程,失敗的企業被銀行家無情地清算。然而,更頻繁(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,一家公司必須以菜價發行股票,永久性地稀釋股東,以穩固其資產負債表。當然,債務可以是企業中的一個重要工具,特別是在資本密集型企業中。在我們審查債務水平時,我們首先考慮現金和債務水平。

What Is Amphenol's Debt?

安諾電子的債務是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2024 Amphenol had debt of US$5.44b, up from US$4.32b in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$1.30b, its net debt is less, at about US$4.14b.

下圖顯示,截至2024年6月,安諾電子的債務爲54.4億美元,較一年前的43.2億美元增加。然而,由於其擁有13億美元的現金儲備,其淨債務較少,約爲41.4億美元。

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NYSE:APH Debt to Equity History October 9th 2024
紐交所:APH債務與股本歷史數據2024年10月9日

How Healthy Is Amphenol's Balance Sheet?

安諾電子的資產負債表狀況如何?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Amphenol had liabilities of US$3.46b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$6.08b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$1.30b as well as receivables valued at US$2.86b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$5.38b.

我們可以從最近的資產負債表看出,安諾電子有短期到期的債務 34.6億美元,長期債務 60.8億美元。 抵消這些債務的是,它有 13億美元的現金,以及在 12個月內到期的應收賬款價值 28.6億美元。 因此,它的負債超過了其現金和(短期)應收賬款的總和 53.8億美元。

Since publicly traded Amphenol shares are worth a very impressive total of US$75.7b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

由於上市公司安諾電子股票總值爲 757億美元,這種程度的負債似乎不太可能構成重大威脅。 但是,我們認爲值得關注其資產負債表的實力,因爲隨着時間的推移,情況可能會發生變化。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

我們通過將公司的淨債務與其息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)相除,並計算其息稅前利潤(EBIT)如何覆蓋其利息費用(利息覆蓋率)來衡量公司的債務負擔相對於其盈利能力。因此,我們同時考慮債務的絕對數量以及所支付的利率。

Amphenol has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 1.3. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 17.4 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. The good news is that Amphenol has increased its EBIT by 9.2% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Amphenol's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

安諾電子的淨債務與息稅折舊及攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)比率僅爲 1.3。 它的EBIT覆蓋了其利息支出高達 17.4倍。 因此,我們對其超保守的債務使用感到非常放心。 好消息是,安諾電子在過去十二個月內將其EBIT增加了 9.2%,這應該消除人們對償還債務的擔憂。 無疑,我們大多數關於債務的信息來自資產負債表。 但未來的收益,而不是其他任何因素,將決定安諾電子維持健康資產負債表的能力。 因此,如果您關注未來,您可以查看這份分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Amphenol recorded free cash flow worth 72% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

最後,一家公司只能用冰冷的現金償還債務,而不是會計利潤。 因此,邏輯上的步驟是查看EBIT中實際自由現金流所佔的比例。 在最近的三年中,安諾電子記錄的自由現金流價值相當於其EBIT的 72%,這是正常水平,考慮到自由現金流不包括利息和稅費。 這筆冰冷的現金意味着它可以在需要時減少債務。

Our View

我們的觀點

Happily, Amphenol's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And the good news does not stop there, as its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow also supports that impression! Zooming out, Amphenol seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Amphenol has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

令人欣喜的是,安諾電子令人印象深刻的利率期貨表現意味着它在債務方面處於上風。而好消息並不止於此,因爲它將EBIt轉化爲自由現金流的表現也支持這一印象!總體而言,安諾電子似乎相當合理地使用債務;我們對此表示認可。畢竟,明智的槓桿可以提高股本回報。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是明顯的起點。然而,並非所有的投資風險都在資產負債表中-相反。例如- 安諾電子有1個警告標誌,我們認爲您應該注意。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

說到底,有時候更容易集中精力關注根本不需要債務的公司。讀者可以免費訪問零淨債務增長股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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